Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) where Donald Trump won 61%-38% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 87.5% for the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. LaHood and Democratic challenger Paul Nolley secured unopposed primary victories on March 17—nearly two months ago—with LaHood posting 99.8% and Nolley 100%, signaling minimal intra-party competition. LaHood's history of dominance, including a 99.9% unopposed 2024 win, combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand vs. Nolley's $160,000 as of late March), bolsters the high odds, though no polls exist and late developments could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$12,474 Обс.
$12,474 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
10%
$12,474 Обс.
$12,474 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,841 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$8,633 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) where Donald Trump won 61%-38% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 87.5% for the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. LaHood and Democratic challenger Paul Nolley secured unopposed primary victories on March 17—nearly two months ago—with LaHood posting 99.8% and Nolley 100%, signaling minimal intra-party competition. LaHood's history of dominance, including a 99.9% unopposed 2024 win, combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand vs. Nolley's $160,000 as of late March), bolsters the high odds, though no polls exist and late developments could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,474Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) where Donald Trump won 61%-38% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 87.5% for the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. LaHood and Democratic challenger Paul Nolley secured unopposed primary victories on March 17—nearly two months ago—with LaHood posting 99.8% and Nolley 100%, signaling minimal intra-party competition. LaHood's history of dominance, including a 99.9% unopposed 2024 win, combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand vs. Nolley's $160,000 as of late March), bolsters the high odds, though no polls exist and late developments could shift dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,474Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois' 16th Congressional District, rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report (PVI R+11) where Donald Trump won 61%-38% in 2024, driving trader consensus to 87.5% for the GOP ahead of the November 3 general election. LaHood and Democratic challenger Paul Nolley secured unopposed primary victories on March 17—nearly two months ago—with LaHood posting 99.8% and Nolley 100%, signaling minimal intra-party competition. LaHood's history of dominance, including a 99.9% unopposed 2024 win, combined with a massive fundraising edge ($6.7 million cash on hand vs. Nolley's $160,000 as of late March), bolsters the high odds, though no polls exist and late developments could shift dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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