Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$31,418 Обс.
$31,418 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$31,418 Обс.
$31,418 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$13,462 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$17,956 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,418Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,418Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Darin LaHood holds a commanding position in Illinois's 16th congressional district, a rural and suburban area covering parts of northern and central Illinois with a consistent Republican lean reflected in its partisan voting index. LaHood secured both the Republican primary and prior general elections without opposition, bolstered by family name recognition and limited Democratic recruitment. The Democratic nominee, Paul Nolley, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated solid Republican by forecasters. Trader consensus at 93% for the Republican Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical margins exceeding 20 points. Potential shifts could arise from an unforeseen scandal, health-related withdrawal by the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave altering turnout patterns in the final weeks before the November 2026 election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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