Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the CA-28 House seat, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic strongholds—and her commanding 64.9% win over April Verlato (R) in 2024. Recent Eaton Fire recovery efforts since January, which destroyed over 9,000 structures in Altadena, have kept Chu front-and-center aiding constituents amid a district where Kamala Harris carried 60.9% in 2024. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers Peter Roybal (D) and Verlato show minimal fundraising, ensuring a likely Chu-Verlato general rematch; upset risks remain low barring scandals or national midterm waves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-28 House Election Winner
CA-28 House Election Winner
$89,254 Обс.
$89,254 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
10%
$89,254 Обс.
$89,254 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$41,330 Обс.
90%
Republican Party
$47,923 Обс.
10%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the CA-28 House seat, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic strongholds—and her commanding 64.9% win over April Verlato (R) in 2024. Recent Eaton Fire recovery efforts since January, which destroyed over 9,000 structures in Altadena, have kept Chu front-and-center aiding constituents amid a district where Kamala Harris carried 60.9% in 2024. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers Peter Roybal (D) and Verlato show minimal fundraising, ensuring a likely Chu-Verlato general rematch; upset risks remain low barring scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Обсяг
$89,254Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the CA-28 House seat, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic strongholds—and her commanding 64.9% win over April Verlato (R) in 2024. Recent Eaton Fire recovery efforts since January, which destroyed over 9,000 structures in Altadena, have kept Chu front-and-center aiding constituents amid a district where Kamala Harris carried 60.9% in 2024. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers Peter Roybal (D) and Verlato show minimal fundraising, ensuring a likely Chu-Verlato general rematch; upset risks remain low barring scandals or national midterm waves.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$89,254Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:18 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Judy Chu (D) dominates trader consensus at 89.5% implied probability for the CA-28 House seat, driven by the district's D+15 Cook Partisan Voting Index—ranking it among the nation's safest Democratic strongholds—and her commanding 64.9% win over April Verlato (R) in 2024. Recent Eaton Fire recovery efforts since January, which destroyed over 9,000 structures in Altadena, have kept Chu front-and-center aiding constituents amid a district where Kamala Harris carried 60.9% in 2024. With the June 2 top-two primary approaching, challengers Peter Roybal (D) and Verlato show minimal fundraising, ensuring a likely Chu-Verlato general rematch; upset risks remain low barring scandals or national midterm waves.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання