Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary against Republican Jason Gibbs. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a D+6 partisan voter index by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas in the San Fernando Valley while shedding Republican-leaning pockets in the Antelope Valley. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Whitesides' 2024 win, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's structural lean. The Republican nominee trails significantly in implied probability, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-27 House Election Winner
CA-27 House Election Winner
$17,531 Обс.
$17,531 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$17,531 Обс.
$17,531 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,615 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$11,916 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary against Republican Jason Gibbs. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a D+6 partisan voter index by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas in the San Fernando Valley while shedding Republican-leaning pockets in the Antelope Valley. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Whitesides' 2024 win, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's structural lean. The Republican nominee trails significantly in implied probability, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,531Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary against Republican Jason Gibbs. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a D+6 partisan voter index by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas in the San Fernando Valley while shedding Republican-leaning pockets in the Antelope Valley. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Whitesides' 2024 win, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's structural lean. The Republican nominee trails significantly in implied probability, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,531Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 2:30 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat George Whitesides holds a commanding position in California's 27th congressional district after advancing from the June 2026 top-two primary against Republican Jason Gibbs. Redistricting under Proposition 50 shifted the district toward a D+6 partisan voter index by incorporating additional Democratic-leaning areas in the San Fernando Valley while shedding Republican-leaning pockets in the Antelope Valley. All major forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Whitesides' 2024 win, substantial fundraising edge, and the district's structural lean. The Republican nominee trails significantly in implied probability, with limited recent polling or endorsements altering the outlook. Late developments such as a national political shift, candidate-specific scandal, or unusually high Republican turnout could narrow the gap, though structural factors make such reversals unlikely before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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