Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal faces Republican Nirav Sheth in the November 3 general election for Washington's 7th congressional district, a Seattle-centered seat with a D+39 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic presidential margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Jayapal advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Sheth's 11%, reflecting limited opposition and strong fundraising advantages. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district's urban, highly educated electorate and absence of competitive challengers or shifting national conditions that would alter turnout or registration patterns. Trader pricing on margin buckets and candidate outcomes aligns with this structural Democratic advantage while incorporating uncertainty over the precise November spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
WA-07 House Election Margin of Victory
Democrat 50-60% 42.8%
Democrat 85-90% 42.5%
Democrat 70-75% 42.3%
Democrat 65-70% 42.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 90%+
42%
Democrat 85-90%
43%
Democrat 80-85%
42%
Democrat 75-80%
39%
Democrat 70-75%
42%
Democrat 65-70%
42%
Democrat 60-65%
42%
Democrat 50-60%
43%
Democrat 0-50%
42%
Republican Wins
28%
Democrat 50-60% 42.8%
Democrat 85-90% 42.5%
Democrat 70-75% 42.3%
Democrat 65-70% 42.3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat 90%+
$160 Обс.
42%
Democrat 85-90%
$200 Обс.
43%
Democrat 80-85%
$200 Обс.
42%
Democrat 75-80%
$200 Обс.
39%
Democrat 70-75%
$200 Обс.
42%
Democrat 65-70%
$40 Обс.
42%
Democrat 60-65%
$80 Обс.
42%
Democrat 50-60%
$40 Обс.
43%
Democrat 0-50%
$80 Обс.
42%
Republican Wins
$43 Обс.
28%
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal faces Republican Nirav Sheth in the November 3 general election for Washington's 7th congressional district, a Seattle-centered seat with a D+39 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic presidential margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Jayapal advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Sheth's 11%, reflecting limited opposition and strong fundraising advantages. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district's urban, highly educated electorate and absence of competitive challengers or shifting national conditions that would alter turnout or registration patterns. Trader pricing on margin buckets and candidate outcomes aligns with this structural Democratic advantage while incorporating uncertainty over the precise November spread.
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,243Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal faces Republican Nirav Sheth in the November 3 general election for Washington's 7th congressional district, a Seattle-centered seat with a D+39 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic presidential margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Jayapal advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Sheth's 11%, reflecting limited opposition and strong fundraising advantages. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district's urban, highly educated electorate and absence of competitive challengers or shifting national conditions that would alter turnout or registration patterns. Trader pricing on margin buckets and candidate outcomes aligns with this structural Democratic advantage while incorporating uncertainty over the precise November spread.
The 2026 WA-07 House election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
The options for "Democrat" and "Republican" refer to any representative of the Democratic Party and Republican Party, respectively, appearing on the general election ballot.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose ballot-listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to "Other." If the listed candidate is represented in this market group as "Republican" or "Democrat" their ballot-listed last name will still be used for tiebreaking.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 WA-07 House election as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,243Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 2, 2026, 4:15 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Democrat Pramila Jayapal faces Republican Nirav Sheth in the November 3 general election for Washington's 7th congressional district, a Seattle-centered seat with a D+39 partisan voter index and consistent Democratic presidential margins exceeding 70 points in recent cycles. Jayapal advanced from the August top-two primary with roughly 84% of the vote against Sheth's 11%, reflecting limited opposition and strong fundraising advantages. All major race raters classify the contest as safe or solid Democratic, consistent with the district's urban, highly educated electorate and absence of competitive challengers or shifting national conditions that would alter turnout or registration patterns. Trader pricing on margin buckets and candidate outcomes aligns with this structural Democratic advantage while incorporating uncertainty over the precise November spread.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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