Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% in the MA-02 House race, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and his long history of dominant victories in central Massachusetts. With no prominent Republican challengers declared ahead of the August 25 filing deadline and September 1 primaries, the seat remains a safe hold absent major shifts. Potential challenges include a high-profile GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a scandal impacting McGovern, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in swing areas like Worcester County, though historical base rates for such deep-blue districts favor continuity through the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMA-02 House Election Winner
MA-02 House Election Winner
$29,916 Обс.
$29,916 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$29,916 Обс.
$29,916 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$20,341 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$9,575 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% in the MA-02 House race, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and his long history of dominant victories in central Massachusetts. With no prominent Republican challengers declared ahead of the August 25 filing deadline and September 1 primaries, the seat remains a safe hold absent major shifts. Potential challenges include a high-profile GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a scandal impacting McGovern, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in swing areas like Worcester County, though historical base rates for such deep-blue districts favor continuity through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,916Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% in the MA-02 House race, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and his long history of dominant victories in central Massachusetts. With no prominent Republican challengers declared ahead of the August 25 filing deadline and September 1 primaries, the seat remains a safe hold absent major shifts. Potential challenges include a high-profile GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a scandal impacting McGovern, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in swing areas like Worcester County, though historical base rates for such deep-blue districts favor continuity through the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$29,916Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim McGovern's April 30 announcement seeking a 16th term has reinforced trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 92.5% in the MA-02 House race, reflecting the district's strong partisan lean and his long history of dominant victories in central Massachusetts. With no prominent Republican challengers declared ahead of the August 25 filing deadline and September 1 primaries, the seat remains a safe hold absent major shifts. Potential challenges include a high-profile GOP nominee emerging post-primary, a scandal impacting McGovern, or a national Republican midterm wave boosting turnout in swing areas like Worcester County, though historical base rates for such deep-blue districts favor continuity through the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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