William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District on August 4 after defeating two establishment-backed rivals in the primary, consolidating support in the Lansing-area seat that Republican Tom Barrett flipped in 2024. A late-August poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett 49-47, consistent with the district’s slight Democratic lean and its sensitivity to midterm turnout patterns among university, labor, and suburban voters. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Barrett’s incumbency advantage and the district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin alongside Lawrence’s grassroots momentum and unified party backing. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics in a competitive battleground where recent polling and primary results have modestly favored the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$17,484 Обс.
$17,484 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
62%
Republican Party
38%
$17,484 Обс.
$17,484 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,931 Обс.
62%
Republican Party
$5,553 Обс.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District on August 4 after defeating two establishment-backed rivals in the primary, consolidating support in the Lansing-area seat that Republican Tom Barrett flipped in 2024. A late-August poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett 49-47, consistent with the district’s slight Democratic lean and its sensitivity to midterm turnout patterns among university, labor, and suburban voters. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Barrett’s incumbency advantage and the district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin alongside Lawrence’s grassroots momentum and unified party backing. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics in a competitive battleground where recent polling and primary results have modestly favored the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,484Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District on August 4 after defeating two establishment-backed rivals in the primary, consolidating support in the Lansing-area seat that Republican Tom Barrett flipped in 2024. A late-August poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett 49-47, consistent with the district’s slight Democratic lean and its sensitivity to midterm turnout patterns among university, labor, and suburban voters. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Barrett’s incumbency advantage and the district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin alongside Lawrence’s grassroots momentum and unified party backing. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics in a competitive battleground where recent polling and primary results have modestly favored the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,484Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...William Lawrence secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s 7th Congressional District on August 4 after defeating two establishment-backed rivals in the primary, consolidating support in the Lansing-area seat that Republican Tom Barrett flipped in 2024. A late-August poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett 49-47, consistent with the district’s slight Democratic lean and its sensitivity to midterm turnout patterns among university, labor, and suburban voters. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting Barrett’s incumbency advantage and the district’s narrow 2024 presidential margin alongside Lawrence’s grassroots momentum and unified party backing. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics in a competitive battleground where recent polling and primary results have modestly favored the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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