Texas' 21st Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, favors GOP nominee Mark Teixeira following incumbent Chip Roy's departure for the Attorney General race, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for Republican victory. Teixeira cruised to victory in the crowded March 3 Republican primary, defeating challengers like Jason Cahill and Trey Trainor, while Democrat Kristin Hook secured her nomination amid low-turnout primary. Recent Q1 fundraising reports released in April highlight Teixeira's financial edge, with no general election polls yet available but historical margins—Roy's consistent 20+ point wins—reinforcing the district's safe Republican status ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$30,693 Обс.
$30,693 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
16%
$30,693 Обс.
$30,693 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,527 Обс.
80%
Democratic Party
$13,166 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 21st Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, favors GOP nominee Mark Teixeira following incumbent Chip Roy's departure for the Attorney General race, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for Republican victory. Teixeira cruised to victory in the crowded March 3 Republican primary, defeating challengers like Jason Cahill and Trey Trainor, while Democrat Kristin Hook secured her nomination amid low-turnout primary. Recent Q1 fundraising reports released in April highlight Teixeira's financial edge, with no general election polls yet available but historical margins—Roy's consistent 20+ point wins—reinforcing the district's safe Republican status ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$30,693Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 21st Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, favors GOP nominee Mark Teixeira following incumbent Chip Roy's departure for the Attorney General race, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for Republican victory. Teixeira cruised to victory in the crowded March 3 Republican primary, defeating challengers like Jason Cahill and Trey Trainor, while Democrat Kristin Hook secured her nomination amid low-turnout primary. Recent Q1 fundraising reports released in April highlight Teixeira's financial edge, with no general election polls yet available but historical margins—Roy's consistent 20+ point wins—reinforcing the district's safe Republican status ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$30,693Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 21st Congressional District, a solidly Republican seat with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+9, favors GOP nominee Mark Teixeira following incumbent Chip Roy's departure for the Attorney General race, driving trader consensus to an 80% implied probability for Republican victory. Teixeira cruised to victory in the crowded March 3 Republican primary, defeating challengers like Jason Cahill and Trey Trainor, while Democrat Kristin Hook secured her nomination amid low-turnout primary. Recent Q1 fundraising reports released in April highlight Teixeira's financial edge, with no general election polls yet available but historical margins—Roy's consistent 20+ point wins—reinforcing the district's safe Republican status ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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