Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree’s structural advantages anchor trader consensus in Maine’s 1st District. The coastal and southern Maine seat has delivered her nine consecutive victories, most recently by 58.1 percent in 2024, reflecting a durable partisan lean and Portland-area base that favors Democratic candidates. With primaries scheduled for June 9, 2026, the Republican field remains fragmented among three entrants and lacks a consolidated challenger. These factors produce the 91.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic hold. A late Republican consolidation or unusually strong national tailwind could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоME-01 House Election Winner
ME-01 House Election Winner
$29,763 Обс.
$29,763 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
6%
$29,763 Обс.
$29,763 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,635 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$8,128 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree’s structural advantages anchor trader consensus in Maine’s 1st District. The coastal and southern Maine seat has delivered her nine consecutive victories, most recently by 58.1 percent in 2024, reflecting a durable partisan lean and Portland-area base that favors Democratic candidates. With primaries scheduled for June 9, 2026, the Republican field remains fragmented among three entrants and lacks a consolidated challenger. These factors produce the 91.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic hold. A late Republican consolidation or unusually strong national tailwind could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$29,763Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree’s structural advantages anchor trader consensus in Maine’s 1st District. The coastal and southern Maine seat has delivered her nine consecutive victories, most recently by 58.1 percent in 2024, reflecting a durable partisan lean and Portland-area base that favors Democratic candidates. With primaries scheduled for June 9, 2026, the Republican field remains fragmented among three entrants and lacks a consolidated challenger. These factors produce the 91.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic hold. A late Republican consolidation or unusually strong national tailwind could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$29,763Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Longtime Democratic incumbent Chellie Pingree’s structural advantages anchor trader consensus in Maine’s 1st District. The coastal and southern Maine seat has delivered her nine consecutive victories, most recently by 58.1 percent in 2024, reflecting a durable partisan lean and Portland-area base that favors Democratic candidates. With primaries scheduled for June 9, 2026, the Republican field remains fragmented among three entrants and lacks a consolidated challenger. These factors produce the 91.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic hold. A late Republican consolidation or unusually strong national tailwind could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and the absence of competitive polling suggest limited realistic paths to an upset before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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