Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote, avoiding a runoff despite multiple challengers, has solidified trader consensus on a GOP hold in the safely Republican TX-31 district (Cook PVI R+11). Carter faces underfunded Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November 3 general election, mirroring his 2024 64%-36% victory amid a fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million raised to Early's $89,000 as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deem the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Austin exurbs' consistent GOP dominance and lack of recent shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-31 House Election Winner
TX-31 House Election Winner
$13,946 Обс.
$13,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
84%
Democratic Party
16%
$13,946 Обс.
$13,946 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,720 Обс.
84%
Democratic Party
$5,226 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote, avoiding a runoff despite multiple challengers, has solidified trader consensus on a GOP hold in the safely Republican TX-31 district (Cook PVI R+11). Carter faces underfunded Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November 3 general election, mirroring his 2024 64%-36% victory amid a fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million raised to Early's $89,000 as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deem the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Austin exurbs' consistent GOP dominance and lack of recent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$13,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote, avoiding a runoff despite multiple challengers, has solidified trader consensus on a GOP hold in the safely Republican TX-31 district (Cook PVI R+11). Carter faces underfunded Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November 3 general election, mirroring his 2024 64%-36% victory amid a fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million raised to Early's $89,000 as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deem the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Austin exurbs' consistent GOP dominance and lack of recent shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-31 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$13,946Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Carter's decisive March 3 primary win with nearly 60% of the vote, avoiding a runoff despite multiple challengers, has solidified trader consensus on a GOP hold in the safely Republican TX-31 district (Cook PVI R+11). Carter faces underfunded Democratic nominee Justin Early in the November 3 general election, mirroring his 2024 64%-36% victory amid a fundraising edge exceeding $1.3 million raised to Early's $89,000 as of late March. Ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball all deem the seat Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting the Austin exurbs' consistent GOP dominance and lack of recent shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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