Illinois's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan lean, where recent presidential results showed a roughly 37-point margin. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. Quigley's long tenure since 2009, combined with consistent Democratic performance in Cook County and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal tied to Quigley's separate Chicago mayoral campaign, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors make these low-probability events before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-05 House Election Winner
IL-05 House Election Winner
$25,272 Обс.
$25,272 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$25,272 Обс.
$25,272 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,976 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$16,296 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan lean, where recent presidential results showed a roughly 37-point margin. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. Quigley's long tenure since 2009, combined with consistent Democratic performance in Cook County and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal tied to Quigley's separate Chicago mayoral campaign, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors make these low-probability events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,272Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Illinois's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan lean, where recent presidential results showed a roughly 37-point margin. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. Quigley's long tenure since 2009, combined with consistent Democratic performance in Cook County and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal tied to Quigley's separate Chicago mayoral campaign, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors make these low-probability events before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,272Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois's 5th congressional district remains a strongly Democratic seat, reflected in the market's heavy weighting toward the Democratic nominee. All major forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic based on the district's partisan lean, where recent presidential results showed a roughly 37-point margin. Incumbent Mike Quigley secured the Democratic nomination in the March 2026 primary and faces Republican nominee Tom Hanson in the November general election. Quigley's long tenure since 2009, combined with consistent Democratic performance in Cook County and surrounding areas, underpins trader consensus. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as candidate withdrawal tied to Quigley's separate Chicago mayoral campaign, significant scandals, or unexpected turnout changes, though structural factors make these low-probability events before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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