With primaries just weeks away on June 9, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold in Maine's open gubernatorial race at 88.5%, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, recent statewide victories like Gov. Janet Mills's 2022 re-election, and ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean D). Recent polls show former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 28-32% in May surveys from Schoen Cooperman and GQR, positioning him as a strong nominee under ranked-choice voting. Republicans remain fragmented behind Bobby Charles (47% in an April internal), with no general election matchups available but historical base rates favoring Democrats in this D+2 PVI environment amid low GOP fundraising edges. Late developments like debates or endorsements could narrow the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMaine Governor Election Winner
Maine Governor Election Winner

Democrat
89%

Republican
13%

Democrat
89%

Republican
13%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...With primaries just weeks away on June 9, trader consensus heavily favors a Democratic hold in Maine's open gubernatorial race at 88.5%, reflecting the state's Democratic trifecta, recent statewide victories like Gov. Janet Mills's 2022 re-election, and ratings from Cook Political Report (Likely D) and Sabato's Crystal Ball (Lean D). Recent polls show former Maine CDC Director Nirav Shah leading the crowded Democratic primary at 28-32% in May surveys from Schoen Cooperman and GQR, positioning him as a strong nominee under ranked-choice voting. Republicans remain fragmented behind Bobby Charles (47% in an April internal), with no general election matchups available but historical base rates favoring Democrats in this D+2 PVI environment amid low GOP fundraising edges. Late developments like debates or endorsements could narrow the gap before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання