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Політика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

icon for Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Політика·Gerrymander

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

$255,606 Обс.

Nov 3, 2026
Polymarket

$255,606 Обс.

Polymarket

California

$12,000 Обс.

97%

Texas

$3,503 Обс.

95%

North Carolina

$8,686 Обс.

97%

Ohio

$5,770 Обс.

94%

Utah

$59,277 Обс.

87%

Florida

$1,177 Обс.

63%

Louisiana

$15,525 Обс.

93%

Missouri

$3,904 Обс.

86%

Virginia

$6,816 Обс.

10%

Alabama

$14,726 Обс.

83%

South Carolina

$21,883 Обс.

84%

Georgia

$1,945 Обс.

12%

Kansas

$5,162 Обс.

8%

New Jersey

$5,044 Обс.

6%

Indiana

$28,282 Обс.

6%

Washington

$5,135 Обс.

8%

Nebraska

$6,500 Обс.

7%

Illinois

$9,819 Обс.

2%

Minnesota

$9,398 Обс.

3%

New York

$8,026 Обс.

13%

Maryland

$7,815 Обс.

13%

Wisconsin

$15,213 Обс.

12%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting efforts have accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders since mid-2025. Republican-controlled legislatures in Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee advanced maps designed to increase GOP-leaning districts, often following federal court rulings that narrowed Voting Rights Act constraints on racial considerations in district drawing. Democratic-led California approved a counter-map via ballot measure, while Utah implemented a court-drawn plan. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Louisiana, and Georgia, plus Virginia's recent state supreme court reversal of voter-approved changes, leaves several maps unresolved as primaries approach, with procedural deadlines and potential U.S. Supreme Court appeals likely to determine final outcomes for November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$255,606
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting efforts have accelerated ahead of the 2026 midterms, with eight states enacting new congressional maps through legislative action or court orders since mid-2025. Republican-controlled legislatures in Texas, Florida, North Carolina, Missouri, Ohio, and Tennessee advanced maps designed to increase GOP-leaning districts, often following federal court rulings that narrowed Voting Rights Act constraints on racial considerations in district drawing. Democratic-led California approved a counter-map via ballot measure, while Utah implemented a court-drawn plan. Ongoing litigation in Alabama, Louisiana, and Georgia, plus Virginia's recent state supreme court reversal of voter-approved changes, leaves several maps unresolved as primaries approach, with procedural deadlines and potential U.S. Supreme Court appeals likely to determine final outcomes for November.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.

If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$255,606
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is: - Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority; - Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and - In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections. Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections. If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.

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Часті запитання

«Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 22 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «California» з 97%, далі «North Carolina» з 97%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» згенерував $255.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 30, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

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Поточний фаворит для «Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?» — «California» з 97%. Наступний — «North Carolina» з 97%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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