Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—enacting revised maps since summer 2025. These changes stem from voluntary legislative actions in partisan-controlled states, responses to prior Voting Rights Act litigation, and a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered standards for evaluating race in districting. Several maps were finalized in spring and summer 2026, shifting candidate filing deadlines and primary timelines in affected states. Additional states considered but did not complete changes, while ongoing court challenges and potential referendums could still alter implementation before November. Traders track these legislative sessions, judicial rulings, and state-specific procedural hurdles as the primary drivers of which maps reach voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$395,140 Обс.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
$395,140 Обс.
California
98%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
95%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
93%
Virginia
5%
Alabama
91%
South Carolina
<1%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
<1%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
5%
Washington
4%
Nebraska
5%
Illinois
2%
Minnesota
5%
New York
4%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
2%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade congressional redistricting has accelerated ahead of the 2026 House elections, with ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—enacting revised maps since summer 2025. These changes stem from voluntary legislative actions in partisan-controlled states, responses to prior Voting Rights Act litigation, and a U.S. Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais that altered standards for evaluating race in districting. Several maps were finalized in spring and summer 2026, shifting candidate filing deadlines and primary timelines in affected states. Additional states considered but did not complete changes, while ongoing court challenges and potential referendums could still alter implementation before November. Traders track these legislative sessions, judicial rulings, and state-specific procedural hurdles as the primary drivers of which maps reach voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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