Democrats' strong position in 2026 midterm forecasts has elevated the implied probability of House-passed articles of impeachment before January 2029. Polling and prediction markets show the president's party facing typical midterm losses, with Democrats positioned to flip the House amid a generic ballot advantage and Trump's approval trends. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-controlled chamber and tabled, signaling readiness to advance proceedings under new majority control. Historical precedent of divided government producing oversight and impeachment efforts reinforces trader assessments that a post-midterm shift would trigger action well before the term ends, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
63% шанс
$88,722 Обс.
$88,722 Обс.
Jan 20, 2029
63% шанс
$88,722 Обс.
$88,722 Обс.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong position in 2026 midterm forecasts has elevated the implied probability of House-passed articles of impeachment before January 2029. Polling and prediction markets show the president's party facing typical midterm losses, with Democrats positioned to flip the House amid a generic ballot advantage and Trump's approval trends. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-controlled chamber and tabled, signaling readiness to advance proceedings under new majority control. Historical precedent of divided government producing oversight and impeachment efforts reinforces trader assessments that a post-midterm shift would trigger action well before the term ends, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$88,722Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democrats' strong position in 2026 midterm forecasts has elevated the implied probability of House-passed articles of impeachment before January 2029. Polling and prediction markets show the president's party facing typical midterm losses, with Democrats positioned to flip the House amid a generic ballot advantage and Trump's approval trends. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-controlled chamber and tabled, signaling readiness to advance proceedings under new majority control. Historical precedent of divided government producing oversight and impeachment efforts reinforces trader assessments that a post-midterm shift would trigger action well before the term ends, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$88,722Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democrats' strong position in 2026 midterm forecasts has elevated the implied probability of House-passed articles of impeachment before January 2029. Polling and prediction markets show the president's party facing typical midterm losses, with Democrats positioned to flip the House amid a generic ballot advantage and Trump's approval trends. Multiple Democratic resolutions have already been introduced in the current Republican-controlled chamber and tabled, signaling readiness to advance proceedings under new majority control. Historical precedent of divided government producing oversight and impeachment efforts reinforces trader assessments that a post-midterm shift would trigger action well before the term ends, though Senate conviction remains a separate threshold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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