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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

icon for Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
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Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

Jun 30

Dec 31

Jan 20, 2029

65% шанс
Polymarket

$68,573 Обс.

65% шанс
Polymarket

$68,573 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$68,573
Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the 2026 midterms represents the primary driver behind the 65% implied probability for impeachment before the end of the term. President Trump has publicly linked Republican losses in those elections to renewed Democratic efforts to remove him, citing past patterns of House action on articles of impeachment. Recent escalations in U.S.-Iran tensions in April 2026 triggered multiple Democratic resolutions and public calls for proceedings, referencing presidential statements on military threats and war powers. Polling has shown majority voter support for impeachment proceedings at points in 2026, though passage remains contingent on House composition and Senate thresholds for conviction. Upcoming midterm outcomes and any further executive actions on foreign policy or domestic disputes could shift these dynamics.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$68,573
Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029
Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 65% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 65¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 65%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» згенерував $68.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» — 65% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 65% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.