Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress currently make House passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump improbable before the November 2026 midterms. Democratic-led resolutions introduced in late 2025, including H.Res.939, were tabled with limited support even within the minority party. Traders assign only single-digit probabilities to impeachment before January 2027 on platforms such as Kalshi, reflecting the structural requirement of a House majority vote and the compressed timeline remaining in the year. While midterm outcomes could shift control and open procedural pathways afterward, any subsequent process would face Senate conviction thresholds exceeding two-thirds and would likely extend beyond December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$871,242 Обс.
$871,242 Обс.
Так
$871,242 Обс.
$871,242 Обс.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Вирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress currently make House passage of articles of impeachment against President Trump improbable before the November 2026 midterms. Democratic-led resolutions introduced in late 2025, including H.Res.939, were tabled with limited support even within the minority party. Traders assign only single-digit probabilities to impeachment before January 2027 on platforms such as Kalshi, reflecting the structural requirement of a House majority vote and the compressed timeline remaining in the year. While midterm outcomes could shift control and open procedural pathways afterward, any subsequent process would face Senate conviction thresholds exceeding two-thirds and would likely extend beyond December 31, 2026.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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