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Політика·Трамп

Will Trump be impeached by...?

icon for Will Trump be impeached by...?
Політика·Трамп

Will Trump be impeached by...?

Dec 31, 2027

Jan 20, 2029

Dec 31, 2027

Jan 20, 2029

$1,022,336 Обс.

Dec 30, 2026
Заробляйте 3.25%
Polymarket

$1,022,336 Обс.

Polymarket

December 31, 2026

$1,021,636 Обс.

2%

June 30, 2027

$0 Обс.

49%

December 31, 2027

$700 Обс.

49%

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has kept articles of impeachment from advancing, as demonstrated by the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution charging President Trump with abuse of power over immigration enforcement actions involving ICE and CBP. Democratic leaders largely voted present rather than support the measure, citing insufficient investigative groundwork ahead of the November midterms. With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, any successful House vote would require a shift in partisan balance or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Traders price near-term resolutions through December 2026 at very low levels, reflecting these procedural barriers, while longer-term contracts price higher odds conditional on Democrats potentially gaining the majority and pursuing proceedings in 2027. Midterm outcomes and any escalations in border or foreign policy disputes remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$1,022,336
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Republican control of the House has kept articles of impeachment from advancing, as demonstrated by the September 15 tabling of Rep. Al Green’s resolution charging President Trump with abuse of power over immigration enforcement actions involving ICE and CBP. Democratic leaders largely voted present rather than support the measure, citing insufficient investigative groundwork ahead of the November midterms. With Republicans holding narrow majorities in both chambers, any successful House vote would require a shift in partisan balance or an unforeseen bipartisan trigger. Traders price near-term resolutions through December 2026 at very low levels, reflecting these procedural barriers, while longer-term contracts price higher odds conditional on Democrats potentially gaining the majority and pursuing proceedings in 2027. Midterm outcomes and any escalations in border or foreign policy disputes remain the primary variables that could alter the trajectory.

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$1,022,336
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x157Ce2d67...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Will Trump be impeached by...?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «June 30, 2027» з 50%, далі «December 31, 2027» з 49%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Will Trump be impeached by...?» згенерував $1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Will Trump be impeached by...?», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Will Trump be impeached by...?» — «June 30, 2027» з 50%. Наступний — «December 31, 2027» з 49%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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