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icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Політика·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

icon for John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?
Політика·Ciara

John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?

Dec 31

Dec 31

10% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
10% шанс
Polymarket
НОВЕ
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,482
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.John Ratcliffe remains firmly in place as CIA Director, with trader consensus reflected in the 90.5% “No” probability that he departs by year-end. Since his January 2025 confirmation, he has expanded the agency’s role in high-priority operations, including support for actions in Iran and Venezuela, while advancing internal reforms to accelerate technology acquisitions and AI integration. His August 2026 unannounced Moscow visit to deliver messages on Ukraine, NATO security, and Iran support, followed by preparations for a larger role in Russia-Ukraine diplomacy, underscore his continued influence within the administration. No official statements, Senate actions, or credible reports indicate plans for removal or resignation before the resolution window closes.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if John Ratcliffe ceases to be U.S. Director of the Central Intelligence Agency for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of John Ratcliffe's resignation/removal by this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from John Ratcliffe and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$1,482
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 6:33 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 10% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 10¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 10%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 29, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?» — 10% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 10% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

Правила вирішення для «John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.