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Політика·Глобальні вибори

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Політика·Глобальні вибори

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 55%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Roberto Vannacci 9.3%

Polymarket

$85,328 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni 55%

Elly Schlein 15%

Giuseppe Conte 13%

Roberto Vannacci 9.3%

Polymarket

$85,328 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni

$10,547 Обс.

55%

Elly Schlein

$6,176 Обс.

15%

Giuseppe Conte

$5,677 Обс.

13%

Antonio Tajani

$2,277 Обс.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$3,400 Обс.

<1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,534 Обс.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$3,198 Обс.

3%

Silvia Salis

$8,718 Обс.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$38,065 Обс.

9%

Matteo Renzi

$1,647 Обс.

<1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,802 Обс.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$2,287 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister due to her record as head of the longest-serving postwar government, sustained support for her Brothers of Italy party near 26 percent in recent polling, and repeated statements committing to serve through the end of the current legislature in 2027. Coalition strains and the rise of Roberto Vannacci’s new far-right National Future movement, which has captured roughly 7 percent and drawn votes from League and Forza Italia allies, have tempered expectations of an unchallenged path. Centre-left opposition remains divided, with Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement viewed as the primary alternatives should the centre-right bloc underperform. Ongoing parliamentary debates over electoral reform, including proposals for greater stability and direct prime-ministerial designation, add further uncertainty ahead of the scheduled vote no later than late 2027.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$85,328
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni holds the leading position in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister due to her record as head of the longest-serving postwar government, sustained support for her Brothers of Italy party near 26 percent in recent polling, and repeated statements committing to serve through the end of the current legislature in 2027. Coalition strains and the rise of Roberto Vannacci’s new far-right National Future movement, which has captured roughly 7 percent and drawn votes from League and Forza Italia allies, have tempered expectations of an unchallenged path. Centre-left opposition remains divided, with Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party and Giuseppe Conte of the Five Star Movement viewed as the primary alternatives should the centre-right bloc underperform. Ongoing parliamentary debates over electoral reform, including proposals for greater stability and direct prime-ministerial designation, add further uncertainty ahead of the scheduled vote no later than late 2027.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$85,328
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Giorgia Meloni» з 55%, далі «Elly Schlein» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» згенерував $85.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of Italy?», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — «Giorgia Meloni» з 55%. Наступний — «Elly Schlein» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.