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Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Politics·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni 53%

Elly Schlein 14%

Roberto Vannacci 10.4%

Giuseppe Conte 9%

Polymarket

$41,669 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni

$6,529 Обс.

53%

Elly Schlein

$2,163 Обс.

14%

Giuseppe Conte

$2,972 Обс.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$1,514 Обс.

<1%

Matteo Salvini

$1,848 Обс.

1%

Guido Crosetto

$1,189 Обс.

<1%

Mario Draghi

$1,385 Обс.

3%

Silvia Salis

$4,729 Обс.

8%

Roberto Vannacci

$15,011 Обс.

10%

Matteo Renzi

$1,335 Обс.

1%

Angelo Bonelli

$1,464 Обс.

<1%

Carlo Calenda

$1,531 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$41,669
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni leads trader pricing for Italy’s next prime minister because her Fratelli d’Italia party tops recent voting-intention polls at roughly 28 percent, keeping the center-right coalition narrowly ahead of the fragmented center-left opposition ahead of the 2027 general election. A March 2026 referendum defeat on judicial reform dented momentum and prompted speculation about early polls or cabinet reshuffles, yet May municipal results showed the governing bloc holding ground in key provinces and no confidence crisis has materialized. Giuseppe Conte and Elly Schlein trail as the most credible alternative leaders given their parties’ combined polling share near 35 percent, while lower-priced figures such as Roberto Vannacci or Mario Draghi lack comparable parliamentary backing or coalition viability at present. The market therefore reflects the current distribution of seats and polling trends rather than any imminent leadership transition.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$41,669
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Giorgia Meloni» з 53%, далі «Elly Schlein» з 14%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» згенерував $41.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of Italy?», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — «Giorgia Meloni» з 53%. Наступний — «Elly Schlein» з 14%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.