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Політика·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Italy?
Політика·PM

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni 43%

Silvia Salis 17.8%

Elly Schlein 17%

Angelo Bonelli 10.8%

Polymarket

$14,540 Обс.

Giorgia Meloni

$3,482 Обс.

43%

Elly Schlein

$712 Обс.

17%

Giuseppe Conte

$984 Обс.

9%

Antonio Tajani

$943 Обс.

3%

Matteo Salvini

$1,264 Обс.

2%

Guido Crosetto

$645 Обс.

2%

Mario Draghi

$483 Обс.

5%

Silvia Salis

$2,127 Обс.

18%

Roberto Vannacci

$2,133 Обс.

8%

Matteo Renzi

$417 Обс.

3%

Angelo Bonelli

$748 Обс.

11%

Carlo Calenda

$602 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$14,540
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Giorgia Meloni remains the leading contender in trader assessments for Italy’s next prime minister, supported by her coalition’s parliamentary majority and decision to continue governing after the March 2026 judicial reform referendum defeat. That loss, which opposition parties framed as a verdict on her leadership, has opened space for center-left figures such as Silvia Salis, positioned by some as a moderate alternative, and Elly Schlein of the Democratic Party. Angelo Bonelli and Giuseppe Conte also draw support amid speculation about possible early elections or coalition realignments before the scheduled 2027 vote. Meloni’s government has now become the second-longest serving in the postwar republic, underscoring the stability that continues to underpin her odds despite the referendum setback.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$14,540
Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2028
Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Italy by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Italy. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Italy; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 12 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Giorgia Meloni» з 43%, далі «Silvia Salis» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» згенерував $14.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 21, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Prime Minister of Italy?», перегляньте 12 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» — «Giorgia Meloni» з 43%. Наступний — «Silvia Salis» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Prime Minister of Italy?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.