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Політика·Вибори в США

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Вибори в США

MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

Stephen Lynch 72%

Andrew Zylberfink 12.4%

Patrick Roath 0

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Stephen Lynch 72%

Andrew Zylberfink 12.4%

Patrick Roath 0

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Stephen Lynch

$2,228 Обс.

54%

Andrew Zylberfink

$286 Обс.

12%

Patrick Roath

$50 Обс.

43%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$2,563
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Stephen Lynch holds a trader consensus edge at 50% implied probability in the MA-08 Democratic primary on September 1, bolstered by his long tenure since 2001, moderate positioning within the party, and superior cash on hand exceeding $1.1 million per late March FEC filings, outpacing challenger Patrick Roath's $410,000. Roath, a 39-year-old Boston lawyer, commands 37% on progressive endorsements from David Hogg's PAC and former Gov. Deval Patrick, plus a generational change narrative amplified in April media spotlighting split-screen campaign events. A February Workbench Strategies poll showed Lynch ahead 62%-36%, but markets reflect a tighter contest amid voter familiarity gaps. Andrew Zylberfink lags at 11.5%. No major developments have emerged in the past 30 days, with candidate forums potentially influencing turnout in this battleground primary.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$2,563
Дата завершення
Sep 1, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 3, 2026, 6:22 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Stephen Lynch» з 55%, далі «Patrick Roath» з 43%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Mar 3, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Stephen Lynch» з 55%. Наступний — «Patrick Roath» з 43%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.