Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election winner. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 contest. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces no primary opposition, while Republicans completed a crowded special primary on August 11 featuring Jerry Carl and others. Low Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns limit crossover potential. A late Republican scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited near-term shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$40,456 Обс.
$40,456 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
3%
$40,456 Обс.
$40,456 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,124 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$21,332 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election winner. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 contest. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces no primary opposition, while Republicans completed a crowded special primary on August 11 featuring Jerry Carl and others. Low Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns limit crossover potential. A late Republican scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$40,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election winner. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 contest. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces no primary opposition, while Republicans completed a crowded special primary on August 11 featuring Jerry Carl and others. Low Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns limit crossover potential. A late Republican scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited near-term shifts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$40,456Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+17, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting that underpin the 93.5% trader consensus for a Republican general election winner. All major forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican ahead of the November 2026 contest. The Democratic nominee, Clyde Jones, faces no primary opposition, while Republicans completed a crowded special primary on August 11 featuring Jerry Carl and others. Low Democratic infrastructure and the district's established voting patterns limit crossover potential. A late Republican scandal, unusually low GOP turnout, or court-ordered map changes could narrow the margin, though historical base rates in comparable districts suggest limited near-term shifts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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