Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes the current market consensus. With incumbent Barry Moore running for Senate, the seat is open, yet the Republican primary winner on May 19 faces only minimal general-election opposition from Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in November. Recent polling and race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders price the Republican outcome above 90 percent because historical margins and low turnout among opposing voters leave little realistic path for a Democratic upset. A late scandal, unusually low primary turnout, or unforeseen national shift could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAL-01 House Election Winner
AL-01 House Election Winner
$35,661 Обс.
$35,661 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
4%
$35,661 Обс.
$35,661 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,001 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,660 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes the current market consensus. With incumbent Barry Moore running for Senate, the seat is open, yet the Republican primary winner on May 19 faces only minimal general-election opposition from Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in November. Recent polling and race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders price the Republican outcome above 90 percent because historical margins and low turnout among opposing voters leave little realistic path for a Democratic upset. A late scandal, unusually low primary turnout, or unforeseen national shift could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,661Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes the current market consensus. With incumbent Barry Moore running for Senate, the seat is open, yet the Republican primary winner on May 19 faces only minimal general-election opposition from Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in November. Recent polling and race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders price the Republican outcome above 90 percent because historical margins and low turnout among opposing voters leave little realistic path for a Democratic upset. A late scandal, unusually low primary turnout, or unforeseen national shift could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,661Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:53 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alabama's 1st congressional district maintains a strong Republican lean that shapes the current market consensus. With incumbent Barry Moore running for Senate, the seat is open, yet the Republican primary winner on May 19 faces only minimal general-election opposition from Democratic nominee Clyde Jones in November. Recent polling and race ratings from outlets such as the Cook Political Report classify the district as solidly Republican, reflecting consistent voting patterns and limited Democratic infrastructure. Traders price the Republican outcome above 90 percent because historical margins and low turnout among opposing voters leave little realistic path for a Democratic upset. A late scandal, unusually low primary turnout, or unforeseen national shift could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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