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Вибори·House Primary

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Вибори·House Primary

NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 24.2%

Tina Shah 4.5%

Michael Roth 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Rebecca Bennett 77%

Brian Varela 24.2%

Tina Shah 4.5%

Michael Roth 4.0%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Rebecca Bennett

$661 Обс.

77%

Brian Varela

$1,088 Обс.

24%

Tina Shah

$604 Обс.

5%

Michael Roth

$1,183 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 82.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her sweep of key county party endorsements from Morris, Hunterdon, and Union Democrats earlier this spring, plus dominant grassroots fundraising exceeding $2.6 million without self-funding or corporate PACs, affording $1.4 million cash on hand as of early April. Recent boosts include a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in late April and her digital spots emphasizing Navy helicopter pilot experience. Brian Varela holds 26% via substantial self-funding to stay competitive amid weaker establishment backing, while Tina Shah (4.7%) and Michael Roth (4.5%) lag despite recent ads and minor PAC support like Roth's $25,000 from Coalition for Progress. Last night's debate highlighted policy overlaps on issues like minimum wage but yielded no clear momentum shift.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,536
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Rebecca Bennett commands an 82.5% implied probability as the trader consensus frontrunner in the NJ-07 Democratic primary on June 2, driven by her sweep of key county party endorsements from Morris, Hunterdon, and Union Democrats earlier this spring, plus dominant grassroots fundraising exceeding $2.6 million without self-funding or corporate PACs, affording $1.4 million cash on hand as of early April. Recent boosts include a VoteVets six-figure ad buy in late April and her digital spots emphasizing Navy helicopter pilot experience. Brian Varela holds 26% via substantial self-funding to stay competitive amid weaker establishment backing, while Tina Shah (4.7%) and Michael Roth (4.5%) lag despite recent ads and minor PAC support like Roth's $25,000 from Coalition for Progress. Last night's debate highlighted policy overlaps on issues like minimum wage but yielded no clear momentum shift.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,536
Дата завершення
Jun 2, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 22, 2026, 1:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 2, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 4 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Rebecca Bennett» з 77%, далі «Brian Varela» з 24%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Apr 22, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 4 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Rebecca Bennett» з 77%. Наступний — «Brian Varela» з 24%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «NJ-07 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.