The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections holding clear leads in most of the 17 metropolitan mayor and governor races, yet recent polling shows tightening margins in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk that keep exact win totals uncertain. National surveys from mid-May place DP support at 45–50 percent against the People Power Party’s 30–38 percent, consistent with the ruling party’s presidential and parliamentary majorities. However, Seoul’s race has narrowed to single digits in the latest Gallup and Realmeter surveys, while Busan remains within striking distance for the opposition. These swing contests, combined with final-week turnout dynamics and any late campaign developments, explain why trader consensus clusters tightly between 11 and 14 wins rather than settling on one outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many South Korean mayor/governor races will DP win?
12 26%
13 26%
11 24.4%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
24%
12
37%
13
26%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
12 26%
13 26%
11 24.4%
14 16%
≤10
9%
11
24%
12
37%
13
26%
14
16%
15
6%
≥16
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of Mayor and Governor elections for South Korea’s upper-level local governments won by the Democratic Party (DP) during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
South Korea’s upper-level local governments include the following cities and provinces:
Cities (mayoral elections): Seoul, Busan, Daegu, Incheon, Gwangju, Daejeon, Ulsan, & Sejong
Provinces (governor elections): Gyeonggi, North Chungcheong, South Chungcheong, North Jeolla, South Jeolla, North Gyeongsang, South Gyeongsang, Jeju, & Gangwon.
If the results of the 2026 South Korean local elections aren’t known by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the South Korean government, specifically the National Election Commission.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Party of Korea enters the June 3 local elections holding clear leads in most of the 17 metropolitan mayor and governor races, yet recent polling shows tightening margins in Seoul, Busan, and Jeonbuk that keep exact win totals uncertain. National surveys from mid-May place DP support at 45–50 percent against the People Power Party’s 30–38 percent, consistent with the ruling party’s presidential and parliamentary majorities. However, Seoul’s race has narrowed to single digits in the latest Gallup and Realmeter surveys, while Busan remains within striking distance for the opposition. These swing contests, combined with final-week turnout dynamics and any late campaign developments, explain why trader consensus clusters tightly between 11 and 14 wins rather than settling on one outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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