Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the 2027 legislative election outcome, driven by consistent polling majorities in the mid-to-high 40s percent range for Chamber of Deputies seats. The party's governing position under President Sheinbaum, combined with its reaffirmed coalition alongside PT and PVEM, underpins expectations of broad support across multiple states. Recent polls from early 2026 reinforce this positioning, showing Morena far ahead of fragmented opposition groups. Traders assign lower probabilities to PAN, MC, PRI, and PVEM as standalone winners due to their divided voter bases and limited recent gains. With the June 2027 vote still more than a year away, shifts in coalition dynamics or economic conditions could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Morena strength.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMorena 77%
MC 24%
PAN 21%
PRI 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
21%
PRI
20%
PT
12%
PVEM
13%
MC
24%
Morena
77%
Morena 77%
MC 24%
PAN 21%
PRI 20%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 6, 2027
PAN
$29 Обс.
21%
PRI
$29 Обс.
20%
PT
$29 Обс.
12%
PVEM
$29 Обс.
13%
MC
$29 Обс.
24%
Morena
$40 Обс.
77%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the 2027 legislative election outcome, driven by consistent polling majorities in the mid-to-high 40s percent range for Chamber of Deputies seats. The party's governing position under President Sheinbaum, combined with its reaffirmed coalition alongside PT and PVEM, underpins expectations of broad support across multiple states. Recent polls from early 2026 reinforce this positioning, showing Morena far ahead of fragmented opposition groups. Traders assign lower probabilities to PAN, MC, PRI, and PVEM as standalone winners due to their divided voter bases and limited recent gains. With the June 2027 vote still more than a year away, shifts in coalition dynamics or economic conditions could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Morena strength.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Ринок відкрито: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$187Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the 2027 legislative election outcome, driven by consistent polling majorities in the mid-to-high 40s percent range for Chamber of Deputies seats. The party's governing position under President Sheinbaum, combined with its reaffirmed coalition alongside PT and PVEM, underpins expectations of broad support across multiple states. Recent polls from early 2026 reinforce this positioning, showing Morena far ahead of fragmented opposition groups. Traders assign lower probabilities to PAN, MC, PRI, and PVEM as standalone winners due to their divided voter bases and limited recent gains. With the June 2027 vote still more than a year away, shifts in coalition dynamics or economic conditions could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Morena strength.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Обсяг
$187Дата завершення
Jun 6, 2027Ринок відкрито
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains a commanding lead in trader sentiment for the 2027 legislative election outcome, driven by consistent polling majorities in the mid-to-high 40s percent range for Chamber of Deputies seats. The party's governing position under President Sheinbaum, combined with its reaffirmed coalition alongside PT and PVEM, underpins expectations of broad support across multiple states. Recent polls from early 2026 reinforce this positioning, showing Morena far ahead of fragmented opposition groups. Traders assign lower probabilities to PAN, MC, PRI, and PVEM as standalone winners due to their divided voter bases and limited recent gains. With the June 2027 vote still more than a year away, shifts in coalition dynamics or economic conditions could narrow the gap, though current evidence points to sustained Morena strength.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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