Recent polls position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with 35–44 percent support, though consistently short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground on the right, reaching 27–29 percent in mid-May surveys and edging ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, who polls near 20–23 percent. This consolidation of conservative and center-right voters behind de la Espriella explains the dominant trader consensus for a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff. A first-round victory remains unlikely for any candidate, while tactical voting and last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still alter the second-place outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоColombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Colombia Election: Who will advance to 2nd round?
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.9%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
81%
1st Round Outright Winner
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
<1%
Other
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro 81%
1st Round Outright Winner 10.9%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro 10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia <1%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella & Iván Cepeda Castro
$3,283 Обс.
81%
1st Round Outright Winner
$1,621 Обс.
11%
Paloma Valencia & Iván Cepeda Castro
$2,278 Обс.
10%
Abelardo de la Espriella & Paloma Valencia
$1,147 Обс.
<1%
Other
$1,031 Обс.
<1%
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with 35–44 percent support, though consistently short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground on the right, reaching 27–29 percent in mid-May surveys and edging ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, who polls near 20–23 percent. This consolidation of conservative and center-right voters behind de la Espriella explains the dominant trader consensus for a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff. A first-round victory remains unlikely for any candidate, while tactical voting and last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still alter the second-place outcome before election day.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,361Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polls position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with 35–44 percent support, though consistently short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground on the right, reaching 27–29 percent in mid-May surveys and edging ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, who polls near 20–23 percent. This consolidation of conservative and center-right voters behind de la Espriella explains the dominant trader consensus for a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff. A first-round victory remains unlikely for any candidate, while tactical voting and last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still alter the second-place outcome before election day.
Colombia's presidential election first round is scheduled for May 31, 2026, with two candidates advancing to a second round on June 21, 2026 if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election.
If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”.
If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Обсяг
$9,361Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 2:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls position Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact as the clear first-round leader with 35–44 percent support, though consistently short of an outright majority ahead of the May 31 vote. Abelardo de la Espriella has gained ground on the right, reaching 27–29 percent in mid-May surveys and edging ahead of Paloma Valencia of the Democratic Center, who polls near 20–23 percent. This consolidation of conservative and center-right voters behind de la Espriella explains the dominant trader consensus for a Cepeda–de la Espriella runoff. A first-round victory remains unlikely for any candidate, while tactical voting and last-minute shifts among undecided voters could still alter the second-place outcome before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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