Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The tight race for Colombia’s May 31 presidential election reflects a polarized electorate and the absence of a clear first-round majority. Trader pricing shows Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Iván Cepeda Castro clustered near the front, consistent with recent polls that place the Historic Pact’s Cepeda ahead on consolidated left-wing support while de la Espriella gains among voters prioritizing security and anti-establishment messaging. Paloma Valencia trails as the center-right option tied to traditional institutions. With the vote only weeks away, any late shifts in turnout among younger or regional blocs, final debate performances, or campaign spending could quickly widen the gap between the top three contenders.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The tight race for Colombia’s May 31 presidential election reflects a polarized electorate and the absence of a clear first-round majority. Trader pricing shows Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Iván Cepeda Castro clustered near the front, consistent with recent polls that place the Historic Pact’s Cepeda ahead on consolidated left-wing support while de la Espriella gains among voters prioritizing security and anti-establishment messaging. Paloma Valencia trails as the center-right option tied to traditional institutions. With the vote only weeks away, any late shifts in turnout among younger or regional blocs, final debate performances, or campaign spending could quickly widen the gap between the top three contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
May 15 2026
Late surge for Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of election day
Abelardo de la Espriella surges to 44%16%
Abelardo de la Espriella's market probability rebounded to 44% on election day, indicating a late surge in voter support possibly due to final campaign efforts and strategic messaging.
Apr 19 2026
Paloma Valencia's support peaks amid growing media attention
Paloma Valencia rises to 44%4%
Media coverage and public interest pushed Paloma Valencia's market probability to a peak of 44%, reflecting heightened visibility and voter engagement.
Apr 1 2026
Colombian city Cartagena replaces horse buggies with electric carriages amid protests
Cartagena's move to replace horse-drawn buggies with electric carriages following animal welfare protests reflects social and cultural shifts in Colombia, indirectly influencing public sentiment and political discourse during the election period, with minor impact on candidate standings.
Mar 25 2026
Paloma Valencia's campaign surges after major policy announcement
Paloma Valencia surges to 41%32%
Paloma Valencia's market probability rose sharply from 9% to 41% following a major policy announcement that resonated with voters, marking her as a significant contender.
Mar 18 2026
Small plane crash in Colombia kills 15 including congress member
Iván Cepeda Castro dips to 41%3%
A tragic plane crash killed 15 people including a congressman and a congressional candidate, causing political shockwaves and impacting the election dynamics, particularly affecting the market confidence in Iván Cepeda Castro and Abelardo de la Espriella as political stability concerns rose.
Mar 17 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella faces controversy, causing sharp drop in support
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 10%23%
A controversy involving Abelardo de la Espriella led to a significant drop in his market probability from 33% to 10%, indicating voter backlash and uncertainty about his candidacy.
Mar 12 2026
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe launches presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella jumps to 44%8%
Miguel Uribe Londoño announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a defender of his son’s legacy and entering a crowded field, which boosted interest in candidates perceived as rivals or allies, notably affecting Abelardo de la Espriella’s support.
Feb 28 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro surges in polls amid growing grassroots support
Iván Cepeda Castro jumps to 50%11%
Iván Cepeda Castro's market probability jumped to 50% as grassroots movements and endorsements bolstered his campaign, signaling a shift in voter sentiment.
Feb 28 2026
DEA labels President Gustavo Petro a priority target in drug investigation
Iván Cepeda Castro rises to 40%2%
The U.S. DEA’s designation of President Petro as a priority target raised concerns about his administration’s integrity, leading to a decline in support for candidates aligned with his coalition, particularly impacting Iván Cepeda Castro’s odds.
Jan 30 2026
Colombian President Gustavo Petro optimistic about upcoming White House meeting with Trump
Iván Cepeda Castro rises to 38%4%
President Petro expressed optimism about a scheduled meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, signaling a diplomatic thaw after months of tension and sanctions, which influenced market perceptions of political stability and candidate viability, particularly benefiting Iván Cepeda Castro.
Dec 5 2025
DEA designates Colombian President Gustavo Petro as 'priority target' in drug trafficking probe
Iván Cepeda Castro surges to 36%18%
The U.S. DEA named President Gustavo Petro a 'priority target' amid investigations into alleged drug trafficking ties, intensifying political controversy and affecting market confidence in left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro and others associated with Petro's coalition.
Sep 1 2025
Abelardo de la Espriella's campaign gains momentum after strong debate performance
Abelardo de la Espriella surges to 56%29%
Following a well-received debate performance, Abelardo de la Espriella's market probability surged from 27% to 56%, reflecting increased voter confidence in his candidacy.
Aug 26 2025
Miguel Uribe Londoño announces presidential bid after son's assassination
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 26%24%
Following the assassination of his son, presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, Miguel Uribe Londoño launched his own presidential campaign to defend his son's political legacy, impacting the market by introducing a new contender from the Democratic Colombia party and shifting support away from other candidates.
Aug 26 2025
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 27%23%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the killed presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy aiming to defend his son's political legacy. This event impacted Abelardo de la Espriella's market price as it introduced a new contender linked to a significant political tragedy.
Aug 25 2025
Initial polling shows Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro as frontrunners
Early polling data positioned Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro as the leading candidates, each starting with a 50% market probability, reflecting strong initial support and setting the stage for a competitive race.
Aug 20 2025
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella dips to 46%4%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy to defend his son's political legacy, impacting the Democratic Center and the broader election dynamics.
Aug 20 2025
Father of slain Colombian candidate Miguel Uribe announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella drops to 45%5%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy to defend his son's political legacy, despite falling out with the Democratic Center party. This event increased attention on Uribe Londoño's campaign, impacting his market price.
Aug 20 2025
Miguel Uribe Londoño announces presidential bid following son's assassination
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 27%23%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay, declared his candidacy for Colombia's presidency, aiming to continue his son's political legacy. This announcement shifted market expectations, particularly affecting Abelardo de la Espriella's and Iván Cepeda Castro's prospects as new dynamics emerged in the race.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The tight race for Colombia’s May 31 presidential election reflects a polarized electorate and the absence of a clear first-round majority. Trader pricing shows Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Iván Cepeda Castro clustered near the front, consistent with recent polls that place the Historic Pact’s Cepeda ahead on consolidated left-wing support while de la Espriella gains among voters prioritizing security and anti-establishment messaging. Paloma Valencia trails as the center-right option tied to traditional institutions. With the vote only weeks away, any late shifts in turnout among younger or regional blocs, final debate performances, or campaign spending could quickly widen the gap between the top three contenders.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election.
This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
The tight race for Colombia’s May 31 presidential election reflects a polarized electorate and the absence of a clear first-round majority. Trader pricing shows Candidate M, Abelardo de la Espriella, and Iván Cepeda Castro clustered near the front, consistent with recent polls that place the Historic Pact’s Cepeda ahead on consolidated left-wing support while de la Espriella gains among voters prioritizing security and anti-establishment messaging. Paloma Valencia trails as the center-right option tied to traditional institutions. With the vote only weeks away, any late shifts in turnout among younger or regional blocs, final debate performances, or campaign spending could quickly widen the gap between the top three contenders.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
May 15 2026
Late surge for Abelardo de la Espriella ahead of election day
Abelardo de la Espriella surges to 44%16%
Abelardo de la Espriella's market probability rebounded to 44% on election day, indicating a late surge in voter support possibly due to final campaign efforts and strategic messaging.
Apr 19 2026
Paloma Valencia's support peaks amid growing media attention
Paloma Valencia rises to 44%4%
Media coverage and public interest pushed Paloma Valencia's market probability to a peak of 44%, reflecting heightened visibility and voter engagement.
Apr 1 2026
Colombian city Cartagena replaces horse buggies with electric carriages amid protests
Cartagena's move to replace horse-drawn buggies with electric carriages following animal welfare protests reflects social and cultural shifts in Colombia, indirectly influencing public sentiment and political discourse during the election period, with minor impact on candidate standings.
Mar 25 2026
Paloma Valencia's campaign surges after major policy announcement
Paloma Valencia surges to 41%32%
Paloma Valencia's market probability rose sharply from 9% to 41% following a major policy announcement that resonated with voters, marking her as a significant contender.
Mar 18 2026
Small plane crash in Colombia kills 15 including congress member
Iván Cepeda Castro dips to 41%3%
A tragic plane crash killed 15 people including a congressman and a congressional candidate, causing political shockwaves and impacting the election dynamics, particularly affecting the market confidence in Iván Cepeda Castro and Abelardo de la Espriella as political stability concerns rose.
Mar 17 2026
Abelardo de la Espriella faces controversy, causing sharp drop in support
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 10%23%
A controversy involving Abelardo de la Espriella led to a significant drop in his market probability from 33% to 10%, indicating voter backlash and uncertainty about his candidacy.
Mar 12 2026
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe launches presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella jumps to 44%8%
Miguel Uribe Londoño announced his candidacy, positioning himself as a defender of his son’s legacy and entering a crowded field, which boosted interest in candidates perceived as rivals or allies, notably affecting Abelardo de la Espriella’s support.
Feb 28 2026
Iván Cepeda Castro surges in polls amid growing grassroots support
Iván Cepeda Castro jumps to 50%11%
Iván Cepeda Castro's market probability jumped to 50% as grassroots movements and endorsements bolstered his campaign, signaling a shift in voter sentiment.
Feb 28 2026
DEA labels President Gustavo Petro a priority target in drug investigation
Iván Cepeda Castro rises to 40%2%
The U.S. DEA’s designation of President Petro as a priority target raised concerns about his administration’s integrity, leading to a decline in support for candidates aligned with his coalition, particularly impacting Iván Cepeda Castro’s odds.
Jan 30 2026
Colombian President Gustavo Petro optimistic about upcoming White House meeting with Trump
Iván Cepeda Castro rises to 38%4%
President Petro expressed optimism about a scheduled meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, signaling a diplomatic thaw after months of tension and sanctions, which influenced market perceptions of political stability and candidate viability, particularly benefiting Iván Cepeda Castro.
Dec 5 2025
DEA designates Colombian President Gustavo Petro as 'priority target' in drug trafficking probe
Iván Cepeda Castro surges to 36%18%
The U.S. DEA named President Gustavo Petro a 'priority target' amid investigations into alleged drug trafficking ties, intensifying political controversy and affecting market confidence in left-wing candidate Iván Cepeda Castro and others associated with Petro's coalition.
Sep 1 2025
Abelardo de la Espriella's campaign gains momentum after strong debate performance
Abelardo de la Espriella surges to 56%29%
Following a well-received debate performance, Abelardo de la Espriella's market probability surged from 27% to 56%, reflecting increased voter confidence in his candidacy.
Aug 26 2025
Miguel Uribe Londoño announces presidential bid after son's assassination
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 26%24%
Following the assassination of his son, presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, Miguel Uribe Londoño launched his own presidential campaign to defend his son's political legacy, impacting the market by introducing a new contender from the Democratic Colombia party and shifting support away from other candidates.
Aug 26 2025
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 27%23%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the killed presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy aiming to defend his son's political legacy. This event impacted Abelardo de la Espriella's market price as it introduced a new contender linked to a significant political tragedy.
Aug 25 2025
Initial polling shows Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro as frontrunners
Early polling data positioned Abelardo de la Espriella and Iván Cepeda Castro as the leading candidates, each starting with a 50% market probability, reflecting strong initial support and setting the stage for a competitive race.
Aug 20 2025
Father of slain candidate Miguel Uribe announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella dips to 46%4%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy to defend his son's political legacy, impacting the Democratic Center and the broader election dynamics.
Aug 20 2025
Father of slain Colombian candidate Miguel Uribe announces presidential bid
Abelardo de la Espriella drops to 45%5%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered presidential hopeful Miguel Uribe Turbay, announced his candidacy to defend his son's political legacy, despite falling out with the Democratic Center party. This event increased attention on Uribe Londoño's campaign, impacting his market price.
Aug 20 2025
Miguel Uribe Londoño announces presidential bid following son's assassination
Abelardo de la Espriella plunges to 27%23%
Miguel Uribe Londoño, father of the murdered candidate Miguel Uribe Turbay, declared his candidacy for Colombia's presidency, aiming to continue his son's political legacy. This announcement shifted market expectations, particularly affecting Abelardo de la Espriella's and Iván Cepeda Castro's prospects as new dynamics emerged in the race.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання
«Президентські вибори в Колумбії» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 19 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Абелардо де ла Еспрієлла» з 44%, далі «Іван Сепеда Кастро» з 41%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.
Станом на сьогодні, «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» згенерував $29.1 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 29, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.
Щоб торгувати на «Президентські вибори в Колумбії», перегляньте 19 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.
Поточний фаворит для «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» — «Абелардо де ла Еспрієлла» з 44%. Наступний — «Іван Сепеда Кастро» з 41%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.
Правила вирішення для «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.
Так. Вам не потрібно торгувати, щоб бути в курсі. Ця сторінка служить трекером наживо для «Президентські вибори в Колумбії». Ймовірності результатів оновлюються в реальному часі з новими угодами. Збережіть сторінку та перегляньте коментарі інших трейдерів.
Шанси Polymarket встановлюються реальними трейдерами, які вкладають реальні гроші, що сприяє точним прогнозам. З $29.1 million торгового обсягу на «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» ці ціни агрегують колективні знання тисяч учасників. Polymarket має місячний показник точності 94%. Для актуальної статистики точності відвідайте сторінку точності на Polymarket.
Щоб зробити першу угоду на «Президентські вибори в Колумбії», зареєструйте безкоштовний акаунт на Polymarket та поповніть його криптою, кредитною чи дебетовою карткою або банківським переказом. Після поповнення поверніться на цю сторінку, оберіть результат, введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви новачок на ринках прогнозів, натисніть «Як це працює» вгорі будь-якої сторінки Polymarket.
На Polymarket ціна кожного результату відображає ймовірність ринку. Ціна 44¢ для «Абелардо де ла Еспрієлла» на ринку «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» означає, що трейдери колективно оцінюють шанс цього результату приблизно в 44%. Якщо ви купите акції «Так» за 44¢ і результат правильний, ви отримаєте $1.00 за акцію — прибуток 56¢ за акцію.
Ринок «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» запланований до вирішення приблизно Jun 21, 2026. Торгівля залишатиметься відкритою, а шанси продовжуватимуть змінюватися з появою нової інформації до цієї дати.
Ринок «Президентські вибори в Колумбії» має активна спільнота з 431 коментарями, де трейдери діляться аналізом, обговорюють результати та останні новини. Прокрутіть вниз до розділу коментарів. Ви також можете фільтрувати за «Топ власники» або переглянути вкладку «Активність» для стрічки угод у реальному часі.
Polymarket — найбільший ринок прогнозів у світі, де ви можете бути в курсі подій та заробляти на знаннях реальних подій. Трейдери купують і продають акції на результати тем від політики та виборів до крипто, фінансів, спорту, технологій та культури, включаючи ринки, як «Президентські вибори в Колумбії». Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання