Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding position in this market because recent polling shows the far-right candidate maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over center-right rival Paloma Valencia for the second spot in the May 31 first round. With Iván Cepeda dominating overall support as the Historic Pact standard-bearer continuing President Gustavo Petro’s agenda, the contest has narrowed to a right-wing runoff qualifier. De la Espriella’s outsider profile modeled on regional populist leaders has helped consolidate conservative voters, while Valencia’s gains from open primaries and former President Álvaro Uribe’s backing have not yet closed the gap. Upcoming final-week campaigning and any last-minute shifts in turnout among undecided right-leaning blocs could still alter the order of the top two finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоColombia Presidential Election 1st round: 2nd place
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 13.3%
Claudia López <1%
$89,279 Обс.
$89,279 Обс.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
13%

Claudia López
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
Abelardo de la Espriella 71%
Paloma Valencia 18%
Iván Cepeda Castro 13.3%
Claudia López <1%
$89,279 Обс.
$89,279 Обс.

Abelardo de la Espriella
71%

Paloma Valencia
18%

Iván Cepeda Castro
13%

Claudia López
<1%

Mauricio Cárdenas
<1%

Gustavo Bolívar
<1%

Sergio Fajardo
<1%

Germán Vargas Lleras
<1%

Juan Manuel Galán
<1%

Roy Barreras
<1%

Juan Carlos Pinzón
<1%

Enrique Peñalosa
<1%

Vicky Dávila
<1%

David Luna Sánchez
<1%

Juan Daniel Oviedo
<1%

Luis Gilberto Murillo
<1%

Daniel Quintero
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Abelardo de la Espriella holds a commanding position in this market because recent polling shows the far-right candidate maintaining a narrow but consistent lead over center-right rival Paloma Valencia for the second spot in the May 31 first round. With Iván Cepeda dominating overall support as the Historic Pact standard-bearer continuing President Gustavo Petro’s agenda, the contest has narrowed to a right-wing runoff qualifier. De la Espriella’s outsider profile modeled on regional populist leaders has helped consolidate conservative voters, while Valencia’s gains from open primaries and former President Álvaro Uribe’s backing have not yet closed the gap. Upcoming final-week campaigning and any last-minute shifts in turnout among undecided right-leaning blocs could still alter the order of the top two finishers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання