The closely contested three-way presidential race ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first round has driven moderate voter engagement across 41.5 million registered citizens, placing the 54-57% turnout band at the head of trader consensus. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and others show Iván Cepeda leading in the high 30s to mid-40s while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split the center-right vote, signaling a runoff on June 21 and limiting any surge from decisive momentum. Modeling consistent with historical first-round participation in polarized cycles projects 22–23 million ballots cast, or roughly 55%, with no major last-minute campaign events or scandals altering baseline mobilization patterns in the final two weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
<48%
4%
48-51%
25%
51-54%
24%
54-57%
39%
57-60%
14%
60%+
28%
54-57% 51%
51-54% 18%
57-60% 18.0%
48-51% 15%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
May 31, 2026
<48%
$436 Обс.
4%
48-51%
$428 Обс.
25%
51-54%
$420 Обс.
24%
54-57%
$436 Обс.
39%
57-60%
$420 Обс.
14%
60%+
$484 Обс.
28%
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested three-way presidential race ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first round has driven moderate voter engagement across 41.5 million registered citizens, placing the 54-57% turnout band at the head of trader consensus. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and others show Iván Cepeda leading in the high 30s to mid-40s while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split the center-right vote, signaling a runoff on June 21 and limiting any surge from decisive momentum. Modeling consistent with historical first-round participation in polarized cycles projects 22–23 million ballots cast, or roughly 55%, with no major last-minute campaign events or scandals altering baseline mobilization patterns in the final two weeks.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,624Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).The closely contested three-way presidential race ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first round has driven moderate voter engagement across 41.5 million registered citizens, placing the 54-57% turnout band at the head of trader consensus. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and others show Iván Cepeda leading in the high 30s to mid-40s while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split the center-right vote, signaling a runoff on June 21 and limiting any surge from decisive momentum. Modeling consistent with historical first-round participation in polarized cycles projects 22–23 million ballots cast, or roughly 55%, with no major last-minute campaign events or scandals altering baseline mobilization patterns in the final two weeks.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Обсяг
$2,624Дата завершення
May 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 21, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely contested three-way presidential race ahead of Colombia’s May 31 first round has driven moderate voter engagement across 41.5 million registered citizens, placing the 54-57% turnout band at the head of trader consensus. Recent polls from Invamer, AtlasIntel, and others show Iván Cepeda leading in the high 30s to mid-40s while Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia split the center-right vote, signaling a runoff on June 21 and limiting any surge from decisive momentum. Modeling consistent with historical first-round participation in polarized cycles projects 22–23 million ballots cast, or roughly 55%, with no major last-minute campaign events or scandals altering baseline mobilization patterns in the final two weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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