Trader consensus on the "No" outcome reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current congressional session. With President Trump serving his term without reported health events or disqualifying legal barriers, institutional thresholds for removal remain unmet and face significant procedural hurdles in a divided legislature. Historical patterns show such actions rarely advance swiftly absent overwhelming bipartisan support or acute crises. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical emergency or major scandal could still shift dynamics before June 30, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$5,282,084 Обс.
$5,282,084 Обс.
Так
$5,282,084 Обс.
$5,282,084 Обс.
An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 11, 2026, 12:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Donald Trump's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
Only permanent removal from office will qualify. Temporary removal (e.g. temporary invocation of the 25th Amendment under Section 3 or a Section 4 invocation not sustained by both Houses of Congress) or impeachment without removal will not count.
A sustained invocation of the Twenty-Fifth Amendment, Section 4 (i.e., if both Houses of Congress, by two-thirds vote, uphold the Vice President and Cabinet’s determination of presidential inability) will qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on the "No" outcome reflects the absence of any active impeachment proceedings, resignation signals, or invocation of the 25th Amendment in the current congressional session. With President Trump serving his term without reported health events or disqualifying legal barriers, institutional thresholds for removal remain unmet and face significant procedural hurdles in a divided legislature. Historical patterns show such actions rarely advance swiftly absent overwhelming bipartisan support or acute crises. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden medical emergency or major scandal could still shift dynamics before June 30, though no such catalysts have materialized in recent weeks.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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