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Світ·Глобальні вибори

Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії

icon for Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії
Світ·Глобальні вибори

Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії

Янез Янша 95.2%

Анже Логар 2.4%

Єрней Вртовец <1%

Роберт Голоб <1%

Polymarket

$3,013,569 Обс.

Янез Янша 95.2%

Анже Логар 2.4%

Єрней Вртовец <1%

Роберт Голоб <1%

Polymarket

$3,013,569 Обс.

icon for Янез Янша

Янез Янша

$775,973 Обс.

95%

icon for Анже Логар

Анже Логар

$991,321 Обс.

2%

icon for Єрней Вртовец

Єрней Вртовец

$222,264 Обс.

1%

icon for Роберт Голоб

Роберт Голоб

$656,627 Обс.

<1%

icon for Володимир Пребіліч

Володимир Пребіліч

$181,172 Обс.

<1%

icon for Лука Месец

Лука Месец

$10,527 Обс.

<1%

icon for Матяж Хан

Матяж Хан

$20,169 Обс.

<1%

icon for Матеj Тонін

Матеj Тонін

$18,275 Обс.

<1%

icon for Зоран Стеванович

Зоран Стеванович

$137,240 Обс.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Janez Janša holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Slovenia’s next prime minister because his Slovenian Democratic Party secured 28 seats in the March 2026 parliamentary election, nearly matching the Freedom Movement’s narrow plurality, while coalition negotiations under outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob collapsed without reaching the 46-seat majority threshold. This has shifted momentum toward Janša’s centre-right bloc, which is now actively courting smaller conservative and centre-right parties following procedural changes in the National Assembly and the president’s mandate process. The implied probability near 95 percent reflects expectations of imminent nomination and confirmation. Realistic challenges remain, including last-minute partner defections, a failed floor vote, or renewed calls for snap elections if coalition arithmetic proves unstable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,013,569
Дата завершення
Mar 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Janez Janša holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for Slovenia’s next prime minister because his Slovenian Democratic Party secured 28 seats in the March 2026 parliamentary election, nearly matching the Freedom Movement’s narrow plurality, while coalition negotiations under outgoing Prime Minister Robert Golob collapsed without reaching the 46-seat majority threshold. This has shifted momentum toward Janša’s centre-right bloc, which is now actively courting smaller conservative and centre-right parties following procedural changes in the National Assembly and the president’s mandate process. The implied probability near 95 percent reflects expectations of imminent nomination and confirmation. Realistic challenges remain, including last-minute partner defections, a failed floor vote, or renewed calls for snap elections if coalition arithmetic proves unstable.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$3,013,569
Дата завершення
Mar 22, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially elected by the National Assembly (Državni zbor) and sworn in as Prime Minister of Slovenia following the next parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Slovenia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Янез Янша» з 95%, далі «Анже Логар» з 2%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії» згенерував $3 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jan 19, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії» — «Янез Янша» з 95%. Наступний — «Анже Логар» з 2%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Наступний прем 'єр-міністр Словенії» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.