Trump’s endorsement has consolidated Republican voter support behind Rep. Julia Letlow, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Louisiana’s Republican Senate primary against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Letlow’s alignment with the administration contrasts with Cassidy’s 2021 impeachment vote and recent clashes over health policy, which have eroded his base. Recent May polling shows Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming in a tight contest for first place, with Cassidy well behind, though the market reflects Letlow pulling ahead amid undecided voter movement and Fleming’s narrower appeal. The May 16 primary outcome will hinge on turnout among conservative voters favoring Trump-backed candidates over the incumbent’s record.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоJulia Letlow 77%
John Fleming 21.7%
Bill Cassidy 3.5%
Julie Emerson <1%
$286,437 Обс.
$286,437 Обс.
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
77%
John Fleming
22%
Bill Cassidy
3%
Julie Emerson
<1%
Blake Miguez
<1%
Kathy Seiden
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
<1%
Randall Arrington
<1%
Tracy Dendy
<1%
Chris Holder
<1%
Xan John
<1%
Julia Letlow 77%
John Fleming 21.7%
Bill Cassidy 3.5%
Julie Emerson <1%
$286,437 Обс.
$286,437 Обс.
May 16, 2026
Julia Letlow
$32,140 Обс.
77%
John Fleming
$45,358 Обс.
22%
Bill Cassidy
$47,447 Обс.
3%
Julie Emerson
$37,342 Обс.
<1%
Blake Miguez
$24,964 Обс.
<1%
Kathy Seiden
$11,888 Обс.
<1%
Eric Skrmetta
$15,997 Обс.
<1%
Samuel “Sammy” Wyatt
$12,205 Обс.
<1%
Randall Arrington
$18,702 Обс.
<1%
Tracy Dendy
$20,095 Обс.
<1%
Chris Holder
$9,207 Обс.
<1%
Xan John
$11,091 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump’s endorsement has consolidated Republican voter support behind Rep. Julia Letlow, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Louisiana’s Republican Senate primary against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Letlow’s alignment with the administration contrasts with Cassidy’s 2021 impeachment vote and recent clashes over health policy, which have eroded his base. Recent May polling shows Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming in a tight contest for first place, with Cassidy well behind, though the market reflects Letlow pulling ahead amid undecided voter movement and Fleming’s narrower appeal. The May 16 primary outcome will hinge on turnout among conservative voters favoring Trump-backed candidates over the incumbent’s record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ET
Обсяг
$286,437Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Trump’s endorsement has consolidated Republican voter support behind Rep. Julia Letlow, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Louisiana’s Republican Senate primary against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Letlow’s alignment with the administration contrasts with Cassidy’s 2021 impeachment vote and recent clashes over health policy, which have eroded his base. Recent May polling shows Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming in a tight contest for first place, with Cassidy well behind, though the market reflects Letlow pulling ahead amid undecided voter movement and Fleming’s narrower appeal. The May 16 primary outcome will hinge on turnout among conservative voters favoring Trump-backed candidates over the incumbent’s record.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Louisiana.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$286,437Дата завершення
May 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 22, 2025, 1:09 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trump’s endorsement has consolidated Republican voter support behind Rep. Julia Letlow, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in Louisiana’s Republican Senate primary against incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy. Letlow’s alignment with the administration contrasts with Cassidy’s 2021 impeachment vote and recent clashes over health policy, which have eroded his base. Recent May polling shows Letlow and state Treasurer John Fleming in a tight contest for first place, with Cassidy well behind, though the market reflects Letlow pulling ahead amid undecided voter movement and Fleming’s narrower appeal. The May 16 primary outcome will hinge on turnout among conservative voters favoring Trump-backed candidates over the incumbent’s record.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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