Recent polling shows a tight contest for second place in Berlin's September 20 state election, with CDU, AfD, and Die Linke clustered within a few points around 17-20 percent. The CDU's replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner after his July withdrawal has stabilized but not boosted its position, while Die Linke edges ahead in several surveys amid broader left-leaning trends. AfD gains reflect national momentum and local voter shifts on immigration and security issues. With first place also undecided between CDU and Linke, small changes in turnout among swing voters or late campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCDU 37%
AfD 32%
Linke 25%
Grüne 8%
$22,634 Обс.
$22,634 Обс.

CDU
37%

AfD
32%

Linke
25%

Grüne
8%

SPD
3%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
CDU 37%
AfD 32%
Linke 25%
Grüne 8%
$22,634 Обс.
$22,634 Обс.

CDU
37%

AfD
32%

Linke
25%

Grüne
8%

SPD
3%

FDP
<1%

FW
<1%

BSW
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Ринок відкрито: Jul 7, 2026, 9:10 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tight contest for second place in Berlin's September 20 state election, with CDU, AfD, and Die Linke clustered within a few points around 17-20 percent. The CDU's replacement of lead candidate Kai Wegner after his July withdrawal has stabilized but not boosted its position, while Die Linke edges ahead in several surveys amid broader left-leaning trends. AfD gains reflect national momentum and local voter shifts on immigration and security issues. With first place also undecided between CDU and Linke, small changes in turnout among swing voters or late campaign events could reorder the middle of the field before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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