Recent polls for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW consistently between 3% and 5%, aligning with the market's leading 3-5% outcome. The party, contesting the state parliament for the first time, shows support well below its 11% federal result in the state the prior year and trails established parties such as the Linke. Late-August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap report 3-4% for the BSW alongside similar levels for the FDP, both near the 5% threshold. Sahra Wagenknecht's comments on potential cross-party cooperation have not produced measurable polling shifts in the final week, leaving the BSW's position stable but precarious amid high AfD support and undecided voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election: BSW Vote Share?
3-5% 61%
<3% 22%
5-7% 20%
7%+ 1.6%
<3%
22%
3-5%
61%
5-7%
20%
7%+
2%
3-5% 61%
<3% 22%
5-7% 20%
7%+ 1.6%
<3%
22%
3-5%
61%
5-7%
20%
7%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:32 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by BSW in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for the September 6 Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election place the BSW consistently between 3% and 5%, aligning with the market's leading 3-5% outcome. The party, contesting the state parliament for the first time, shows support well below its 11% federal result in the state the prior year and trails established parties such as the Linke. Late-August surveys from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen and Infratest dimap report 3-4% for the BSW alongside similar levels for the FDP, both near the 5% threshold. Sahra Wagenknecht's comments on potential cross-party cooperation have not produced measurable polling shifts in the final week, leaving the BSW's position stable but precarious amid high AfD support and undecided voters.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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