Recent late-August polls from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen place the AfD at 40–42% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22–23% and smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further. High shares of undecided voters (11–31%) and modest gains for the Greens and SPD keep the AfD range narrow, as additional entrants into the Landtag would dilute seat totals and reduce chances of an absolute majority. The AfD’s consistent double-digit lead since mid-2026 reflects stable eastern voter preferences on migration and economic issues, yet the party’s explicit rejection of coalitions limits upside scenarios. Final campaign events, turnout differentials, or last-minute preference shifts among the undecided could move results across the 42% threshold or pull them below 39%.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено39-42% 39%
42-45% 36%
<39% 13%
45%+ 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
<39%
13%
39-42%
39%
42-45%
36%
45%+
13%
39-42% 39%
42-45% 36%
<39% 13%
45%+ 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Sep 6, 2026
<39%
$782 Обс.
13%
39-42%
$1,082 Обс.
39%
42-45%
$2,281 Обс.
36%
45%+
$2,037 Обс.
13%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent late-August polls from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen place the AfD at 40–42% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22–23% and smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further. High shares of undecided voters (11–31%) and modest gains for the Greens and SPD keep the AfD range narrow, as additional entrants into the Landtag would dilute seat totals and reduce chances of an absolute majority. The AfD’s consistent double-digit lead since mid-2026 reflects stable eastern voter preferences on migration and economic issues, yet the party’s explicit rejection of coalitions limits upside scenarios. Final campaign events, turnout differentials, or last-minute preference shifts among the undecided could move results across the 42% threshold or pull them below 39%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,182Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent late-August polls from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen place the AfD at 40–42% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22–23% and smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further. High shares of undecided voters (11–31%) and modest gains for the Greens and SPD keep the AfD range narrow, as additional entrants into the Landtag would dilute seat totals and reduce chances of an absolute majority. The AfD’s consistent double-digit lead since mid-2026 reflects stable eastern voter preferences on migration and economic issues, yet the party’s explicit rejection of coalitions limits upside scenarios. Final campaign events, turnout differentials, or last-minute preference shifts among the undecided could move results across the 42% threshold or pull them below 39%.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received by AfD in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Обсяг
$6,182Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:26 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent late-August polls from Infratest dimap and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen place the AfD at 40–42% in Sachsen-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 Landtag election, with the CDU at 22–23% and smaller parties such as the Left, SPD, and Greens trailing further. High shares of undecided voters (11–31%) and modest gains for the Greens and SPD keep the AfD range narrow, as additional entrants into the Landtag would dilute seat totals and reduce chances of an absolute majority. The AfD’s consistent double-digit lead since mid-2026 reflects stable eastern voter preferences on migration and economic issues, yet the party’s explicit rejection of coalitions limits upside scenarios. Final campaign events, turnout differentials, or last-minute preference shifts among the undecided could move results across the 42% threshold or pull them below 39%.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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