Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election consistently placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14–16 percent, projecting 25–29 seats under the state’s personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party held this narrow band through final surveys despite Die Linke’s surge and declines for the SPD and CDU. Voter migration data showed modest losses to the Left offset by stability among core urban and environmental supporters. With the vote now complete and preliminary counts confirming a result inside that range, trader consensus reflects the absence of late volatility or turnout anomalies that could have shifted the seat total outside 25–29.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено25-29 95.7%
30-34 2.7%
20-24 2.3%
<20 1.1%
$49,608 Обс.
$49,608 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
1%
20-24
2%
25-29
96%
30-34
3%
35-39
<1%
40-44
<1%
45+
<1%
25-29 95.7%
30-34 2.7%
20-24 2.3%
<20 1.1%
$49,608 Обс.
$49,608 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
<20
$2,107 Обс.
1%
20-24
$7,642 Обс.
2%
25-29
$8,485 Обс.
96%
30-34
$12,324 Обс.
3%
35-39
$14,460 Обс.
<1%
40-44
$3,104 Обс.
<1%
45+
$1,486 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election consistently placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14–16 percent, projecting 25–29 seats under the state’s personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party held this narrow band through final surveys despite Die Linke’s surge and declines for the SPD and CDU. Voter migration data showed modest losses to the Left offset by stability among core urban and environmental supporters. With the vote now complete and preliminary counts confirming a result inside that range, trader consensus reflects the absence of late volatility or turnout anomalies that could have shifted the seat total outside 25–29.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Обсяг
$49,608Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election consistently placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14–16 percent, projecting 25–29 seats under the state’s personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party held this narrow band through final surveys despite Die Linke’s surge and declines for the SPD and CDU. Voter migration data showed modest losses to the Left offset by stability among core urban and environmental supporters. With the vote now complete and preliminary counts confirming a result inside that range, trader consensus reflects the absence of late volatility or turnout anomalies that could have shifted the seat total outside 25–29.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Grüne party in the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin as a result of this election.
This market will resolve according to the total number of seats officially attributed to the specified party as a result of the election. This includes all seats attributed to that party, regardless of whether they are won directly or allocated through party lists, compensatory mechanisms, or any other component of the applicable electoral system.
If the specified party contests the election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the specified party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the specified party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/).
Обсяг
$49,608Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 10, 2026, 8:12 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election consistently placed Bündnis 90/Die Grünen at 14–16 percent, projecting 25–29 seats under the state’s personalized proportional system with a 5 percent threshold. The party held this narrow band through final surveys despite Die Linke’s surge and declines for the SPD and CDU. Voter migration data showed modest losses to the Left offset by stability among core urban and environmental supporters. With the vote now complete and preliminary counts confirming a result inside that range, trader consensus reflects the absence of late volatility or turnout anomalies that could have shifted the seat total outside 25–29.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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