The Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September 2026 delivered 8.9% for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, confirming passage of the 5% threshold. Pre-election surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party at 5–6% in the final weeks, with modest gains in late August and early September amid elevated turnout near 78%. Voter shifts from other parties and mobilization in urban districts supported this level, while smaller competitors like the FDP fell below. Trader consensus at 100% on the Over reflects alignment between repeated polling averages, historical precedent for the Greens in the state, and the now-verified outcome. Late campaign swings, sampling error in final surveys, or unexpected regional variations remained the only plausible paths to an under-5% result, none of which materialized in the certified tallies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOver
>99% шанс
$23,815 Обс.
$23,815 Обс.
Sep 6, 2026
Over
>99% шанс
$23,815 Обс.
$23,815 Обс.
Sep 6, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September 2026 delivered 8.9% for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, confirming passage of the 5% threshold. Pre-election surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party at 5–6% in the final weeks, with modest gains in late August and early September amid elevated turnout near 78%. Voter shifts from other parties and mobilization in urban districts supported this level, while smaller competitors like the FDP fell below. Trader consensus at 100% on the Over reflects alignment between repeated polling averages, historical precedent for the Greens in the state, and the now-verified outcome. Late campaign swings, sampling error in final surveys, or unexpected regional variations remained the only plausible paths to an under-5% result, none of which materialized in the certified tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Обсяг
$23,815Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Over
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Over
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).The Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September 2026 delivered 8.9% for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, confirming passage of the 5% threshold. Pre-election surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party at 5–6% in the final weeks, with modest gains in late August and early September amid elevated turnout near 78%. Voter shifts from other parties and mobilization in urban districts supported this level, while smaller competitors like the FDP fell below. Trader consensus at 100% on the Over reflects alignment between repeated polling averages, historical precedent for the Greens in the state, and the now-verified outcome. Late campaign swings, sampling error in final surveys, or unexpected regional variations remained the only plausible paths to an under-5% result, none of which materialized in the certified tallies.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to “Over” if Grüne wins at least 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “Under” if Grüne wins less than 5% of all valid second votes (Zweitstimme) in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid second votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid second votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the State Returning Officer of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landeswahlleiter Sachsen-Anhalt) attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Обсяг
$23,815Дата завершення
Sep 6, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 20, 2026, 2:25 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Результат запропоновано: Over
Без оскарження
Кінцевий результат: Over
The Sachsen-Anhalt Landtag election on 6 September 2026 delivered 8.9% for Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, confirming passage of the 5% threshold. Pre-election surveys from INSA, Infratest dimap, and Forschungsgruppe Wahlen placed the party at 5–6% in the final weeks, with modest gains in late August and early September amid elevated turnout near 78%. Voter shifts from other parties and mobilization in urban districts supported this level, while smaller competitors like the FDP fell below. Trader consensus at 100% on the Over reflects alignment between repeated polling averages, historical precedent for the Greens in the state, and the now-verified outcome. Late campaign swings, sampling error in final surveys, or unexpected regional variations remained the only plausible paths to an under-5% result, none of which materialized in the certified tallies.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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