**Recent U.S. diplomatic moves have centered on internal recalls and ambassador resignations rather than actions by foreign governments.** President Trump’s administration has recalled envoys from multiple African posts and accepted the resignation of the ambassador to Greece amid misconduct allegations, reflecting domestic policy shifts rather than host-country expulsions. Isolated opposition efforts, such as Chilean lawmakers petitioning to declare the U.S. ambassador persona non grata over alleged interference, remain stalled amid bilateral talks and lack broad support. No active crises have escalated to formal expulsion declarations in the past month. With roughly ten weeks left until year-end, the absence of imminent triggers supports traders’ 74.5% implied probability that no country will expel a U.S. ambassador by December 31.