Recent polls for the two Mato Grosso do Sul Senate seats show a fragmented field, with Reinaldo Azambuja leading but no candidate consistently securing clear second place. Multiple contenders including Capitão Contar, Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and Beto do Movimento draw support across parties, while alliances and party switches continue to reshape positioning ahead of the October vote. Voters select two names, which sustains uncertainty around the runner-up and keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. Upcoming polling releases and formal candidate registrations could shift momentum by clarifying vote consolidation among the top contenders.