The fragmented field of ten confirmed candidates for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, with leading names such as Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Daniel Júnior (Agir), and Beto do Movimento (PSOL) each holding roughly 20–30% implied odds after registrations closed on August 15. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil show technical ties among right-leaning contenders, reflecting split party support, regional priorities on federal infrastructure and resources, and limited consolidation ahead of the October vote. Late momentum from alliances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still produce separation before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоReinaldo Azambuja 63%
Valter da Comagran 42%
Capitão Contar 26%
Valderi Garcia 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Reinaldo Azambuja
63%
Valter da Comagran
42%
Capitão Contar
26%
Valderi Garcia
24%
Beto do Movimento
23%
Soraya
23%
Daniel Junior
23%
Vander Loubet
22%
Luiz Lemes
21%
Roberto Oshiro
19%
Reinaldo Azambuja 63%
Valter da Comagran 42%
Capitão Contar 26%
Valderi Garcia 24%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Reinaldo Azambuja
$41 Обс.
63%
Valter da Comagran
$69 Обс.
42%
Capitão Contar
$21 Обс.
26%
Valderi Garcia
$21 Обс.
24%
Beto do Movimento
$21 Обс.
23%
Soraya
$21 Обс.
23%
Daniel Junior
$21 Обс.
23%
Vander Loubet
$21 Обс.
22%
Luiz Lemes
$21 Обс.
21%
Roberto Oshiro
$92 Обс.
19%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of ten confirmed candidates for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, with leading names such as Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Daniel Júnior (Agir), and Beto do Movimento (PSOL) each holding roughly 20–30% implied odds after registrations closed on August 15. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil show technical ties among right-leaning contenders, reflecting split party support, regional priorities on federal infrastructure and resources, and limited consolidation ahead of the October vote. Late momentum from alliances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still produce separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The fragmented field of ten confirmed candidates for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, with leading names such as Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Daniel Júnior (Agir), and Beto do Movimento (PSOL) each holding roughly 20–30% implied odds after registrations closed on August 15. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil show technical ties among right-leaning contenders, reflecting split party support, regional priorities on federal infrastructure and resources, and limited consolidation ahead of the October vote. Late momentum from alliances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still produce separation before election day.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$181Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented field of ten confirmed candidates for Mato Grosso do Sul’s two Senate seats keeps first-place probabilities tightly clustered in trader consensus, with leading names such as Reinaldo Azambuja (PL), Capitão Contar (PL), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), Daniel Júnior (Agir), and Beto do Movimento (PSOL) each holding roughly 20–30% implied odds after registrations closed on August 15. Recent August polls from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil show technical ties among right-leaning contenders, reflecting split party support, regional priorities on federal infrastructure and resources, and limited consolidation ahead of the October vote. Late momentum from alliances, endorsements, or turnout shifts among key blocs could still produce separation before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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