Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh seeks reelection in Arizona's 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Hamadeh secured the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, and analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries. Democratic primary contenders include Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, but the district's suburban Phoenix composition and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the seat's established partisan baseline and the absence of major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-08 House Election Winner
AZ-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,407 Обс.
79%
Democratic Party
$2,846 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh seeks reelection in Arizona's 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Hamadeh secured the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, and analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries. Democratic primary contenders include Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, but the district's suburban Phoenix composition and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the seat's established partisan baseline and the absence of major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,253Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh seeks reelection in Arizona's 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Hamadeh secured the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, and analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries. Democratic primary contenders include Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, but the district's suburban Phoenix composition and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the seat's established partisan baseline and the absence of major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,253Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh seeks reelection in Arizona's 8th congressional district, which carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+8 based on recent presidential results. Hamadeh secured the seat in 2024 with 56.5 percent of the vote, and analysts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican ahead of the July 21 primaries. Democratic primary contenders include Bernadette Greene Placentia and Raymond Keeler, but the district's suburban Phoenix composition and historical voting patterns continue to favor the Republican nominee in the November general election. Trader consensus on these probabilities aligns with the seat's established partisan baseline and the absence of major shifts in candidate dynamics or external events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання