The race for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district pits Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, against Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in a November 2026 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party reflects Bresnahan’s ongoing vulnerabilities from prior stock-trading controversies that have supplied Democrats with sustained attack lines, combined with Cognetti’s strong name recognition, superior recent fundraising, and ability to contest a seat that flipped Republican in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings organizations have shifted the contest into toss-up territory, citing the district’s narrow partisan lean, union and suburban voter blocs, and midterm dynamics that typically pressure the president’s party. Recent polling averages remain close, underscoring how candidate-specific factors and turnout patterns in northeastern Pennsylvania continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-08 House Election Winner
PA-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
32%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,631 Обс.
66%
Republican Party
$2,246 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district pits Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, against Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in a November 2026 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party reflects Bresnahan’s ongoing vulnerabilities from prior stock-trading controversies that have supplied Democrats with sustained attack lines, combined with Cognetti’s strong name recognition, superior recent fundraising, and ability to contest a seat that flipped Republican in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings organizations have shifted the contest into toss-up territory, citing the district’s narrow partisan lean, union and suburban voter blocs, and midterm dynamics that typically pressure the president’s party. Recent polling averages remain close, underscoring how candidate-specific factors and turnout patterns in northeastern Pennsylvania continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,877Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The race for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district pits Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, against Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in a November 2026 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party reflects Bresnahan’s ongoing vulnerabilities from prior stock-trading controversies that have supplied Democrats with sustained attack lines, combined with Cognetti’s strong name recognition, superior recent fundraising, and ability to contest a seat that flipped Republican in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings organizations have shifted the contest into toss-up territory, citing the district’s narrow partisan lean, union and suburban voter blocs, and midterm dynamics that typically pressure the president’s party. Recent polling averages remain close, underscoring how candidate-specific factors and turnout patterns in northeastern Pennsylvania continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,877Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:49 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The race for Pennsylvania’s 8th congressional district pits Democratic challenger Paige Cognetti, the mayor of Scranton, against Republican incumbent Rob Bresnahan in a November 2026 general election. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party reflects Bresnahan’s ongoing vulnerabilities from prior stock-trading controversies that have supplied Democrats with sustained attack lines, combined with Cognetti’s strong name recognition, superior recent fundraising, and ability to contest a seat that flipped Republican in 2024. Nonpartisan ratings organizations have shifted the contest into toss-up territory, citing the district’s narrow partisan lean, union and suburban voter blocs, and midterm dynamics that typically pressure the president’s party. Recent polling averages remain close, underscoring how candidate-specific factors and turnout patterns in northeastern Pennsylvania continue to shape implied probabilities ahead of the November ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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