Skip to main content
icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Michigan

MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Shri Thanedar 51%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.4%

Polymarket

$22,851 Обс.

Shri Thanedar 51%

Donavan McKinney 36%

Shelby Campbell 5.0%

Nazmul Hassan 3.4%

Polymarket

$22,851 Обс.

Shri Thanedar

$1,200 Обс.

51%

Donavan McKinney

$20,369 Обс.

36%

Shelby Campbell

$442 Обс.

5%

Nazmul Hassan

$427 Обс.

3%

Anthony Carbonaro

$413 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his substantial self-funding from personal wealth and incumbency advantages like name recognition in the Detroit-area battleground. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 36%, gaining traction from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats—their first in four years—Bernie Sanders, Working Families Party, and the recent Michigan Education Association nod on May 4, amid criticisms of Thanedar over immigration comments and resurfaced allegations. A fragmented field with Shelby Campbell at 5% risks splitting anti-incumbent votes, while absent traditional polls, early voting turnout will prove pivotal in this closely contested nomination race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,851
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent U.S. Rep. Shri Thanedar holds a narrow trader consensus at 50.5% implied probability to win Michigan's 13th Congressional District Democratic primary on August 4, driven by his substantial self-funding from personal wealth and incumbency advantages like name recognition in the Detroit-area battleground. State Rep. Donavan McKinney trails closely at 36%, gaining traction from progressive endorsements including Justice Democrats—their first in four years—Bernie Sanders, Working Families Party, and the recent Michigan Education Association nod on May 4, amid criticisms of Thanedar over immigration comments and resurfaced allegations. A fragmented field with Shelby Campbell at 5% risks splitting anti-incumbent votes, while absent traditional polls, early voting turnout will prove pivotal in this closely contested nomination race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$22,851
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 19, 2025, 3:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Shri Thanedar» з 51%, далі «Donavan McKinney» з 36%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $22.9K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 19, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Shri Thanedar» з 51%. Наступний — «Donavan McKinney» з 36%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-13 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.