Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds an 82.5% implied probability in the AZ-06 House election market against incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani at 17.5%. The district, covering southeastern Arizona including northern Tucson suburbs, was rated a tossup or lean Democratic by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and others ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, consistent with typical midterm dynamics where the party out of power often gains ground. Both candidates secured their nominations following the July 21 primaries, with no major subsequent shifts reported. Trader consensus reflects these competitive indicators and historical patterns in similar battleground seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,889 Обс.
83%
Republican Party
$5,982 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds an 82.5% implied probability in the AZ-06 House election market against incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani at 17.5%. The district, covering southeastern Arizona including northern Tucson suburbs, was rated a tossup or lean Democratic by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and others ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, consistent with typical midterm dynamics where the party out of power often gains ground. Both candidates secured their nominations following the July 21 primaries, with no major subsequent shifts reported. Trader consensus reflects these competitive indicators and historical patterns in similar battleground seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,871Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds an 82.5% implied probability in the AZ-06 House election market against incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani at 17.5%. The district, covering southeastern Arizona including northern Tucson suburbs, was rated a tossup or lean Democratic by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and others ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, consistent with typical midterm dynamics where the party out of power often gains ground. Both candidates secured their nominations following the July 21 primaries, with no major subsequent shifts reported. Trader consensus reflects these competitive indicators and historical patterns in similar battleground seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,871Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza holds an 82.5% implied probability in the AZ-06 House election market against incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani at 17.5%. The district, covering southeastern Arizona including northern Tucson suburbs, was rated a tossup or lean Democratic by forecasters such as the Cook Political Report and others ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. Recent polling averages show Mendoza ahead by roughly three points, consistent with typical midterm dynamics where the party out of power often gains ground. Both candidates secured their nominations following the July 21 primaries, with no major subsequent shifts reported. Trader consensus reflects these competitive indicators and historical patterns in similar battleground seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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