Arizona's 6th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani facing Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following uncontested July primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 presidential margin and tossup or lean-D ratings from multiple forecasters reflect its swing character, where voter turnout, national midterm sentiment, and campaign fundraising could determine the outcome. Limited available polling shows a tight race, yet trader pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterms and the district's demographic and voting trends. Upcoming developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, and broader economic or policy signals will likely influence further shifts in positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
83%
Republican Party
18%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,889 Обс.
83%
Republican Party
$5,982 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani facing Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following uncontested July primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 presidential margin and tossup or lean-D ratings from multiple forecasters reflect its swing character, where voter turnout, national midterm sentiment, and campaign fundraising could determine the outcome. Limited available polling shows a tight race, yet trader pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterms and the district's demographic and voting trends. Upcoming developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, and broader economic or policy signals will likely influence further shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,871Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 6th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani facing Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following uncontested July primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 presidential margin and tossup or lean-D ratings from multiple forecasters reflect its swing character, where voter turnout, national midterm sentiment, and campaign fundraising could determine the outcome. Limited available polling shows a tight race, yet trader pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterms and the district's demographic and voting trends. Upcoming developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, and broader economic or policy signals will likely influence further shifts in positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,871Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district remains a closely contested battleground heading into the November 3, 2026, general election, with Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani facing Democratic nominee JoAnna Mendoza following uncontested July primaries. The seat's narrow 2024 presidential margin and tossup or lean-D ratings from multiple forecasters reflect its swing character, where voter turnout, national midterm sentiment, and campaign fundraising could determine the outcome. Limited available polling shows a tight race, yet trader pricing assigns the Democratic nominee a strong implied probability, consistent with historical patterns of opposition-party gains in midterms and the district's demographic and voting trends. Upcoming developments such as additional polling, candidate debates, and broader economic or policy signals will likely influence further shifts in positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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