Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in Washington's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has drawn toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters due to its competitive nature and mixed 2024 presidential results. Recent Emerson College polling showed the general election contest essentially tied, with Braun holding a narrow edge in some surveys. Trader consensus in this prediction market assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting assessments of Perez's incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base in the Vancouver-area district, while the Republican nominee trails at 11.0%. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$27,127 Обс.
$27,127 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$27,127 Обс.
$27,127 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,358 Обс.
88%
Republican Party
$9,770 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in Washington's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has drawn toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters due to its competitive nature and mixed 2024 presidential results. Recent Emerson College polling showed the general election contest essentially tied, with Braun holding a narrow edge in some surveys. Trader consensus in this prediction market assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting assessments of Perez's incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base in the Vancouver-area district, while the Republican nominee trails at 11.0%. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,127Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in Washington's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has drawn toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters due to its competitive nature and mixed 2024 presidential results. Recent Emerson College polling showed the general election contest essentially tied, with Braun holding a narrow edge in some surveys. Trader consensus in this prediction market assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting assessments of Perez's incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base in the Vancouver-area district, while the Republican nominee trails at 11.0%. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,127Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced from the August 4, 2026, top-two primary alongside Republican state Senate Minority Leader John Braun in Washington's 3rd congressional district. The seat carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has drawn toss-up ratings from multiple forecasters due to its competitive nature and mixed 2024 presidential results. Recent Emerson College polling showed the general election contest essentially tied, with Braun holding a narrow edge in some surveys. Trader consensus in this prediction market assigns the Democratic Party an 87.5% implied probability of holding the seat in November, reflecting assessments of Perez's incumbency advantages, fundraising, and voter base in the Vancouver-area district, while the Republican nominee trails at 11.0%. No major late-breaking developments have altered the matchup since the primary.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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