Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's dominant position in Illinois' 14th Congressional District drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic House election winner, bolstered by her unopposed March 17 Democratic primary victory and history of double-digit general election margins—including a 55%-45% defeat of rematch opponent James Marter in 2024—in this D+3 Cook PVI district. The Republican primary win by Marter, who garnered 75% against a weak field, has not shifted sentiment amid no recent polling or major catalysts. While odds imply low upset risk akin to safe Democratic incumbency base rates, scenarios like a GOP midterm wave, Underwood scandal, health event, or her speculated Senate bid following Sen. Durbin's retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,701 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$6,120 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's dominant position in Illinois' 14th Congressional District drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic House election winner, bolstered by her unopposed March 17 Democratic primary victory and history of double-digit general election margins—including a 55%-45% defeat of rematch opponent James Marter in 2024—in this D+3 Cook PVI district. The Republican primary win by Marter, who garnered 75% against a weak field, has not shifted sentiment amid no recent polling or major catalysts. While odds imply low upset risk akin to safe Democratic incumbency base rates, scenarios like a GOP midterm wave, Underwood scandal, health event, or her speculated Senate bid following Sen. Durbin's retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,821Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's dominant position in Illinois' 14th Congressional District drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic House election winner, bolstered by her unopposed March 17 Democratic primary victory and history of double-digit general election margins—including a 55%-45% defeat of rematch opponent James Marter in 2024—in this D+3 Cook PVI district. The Republican primary win by Marter, who garnered 75% against a weak field, has not shifted sentiment amid no recent polling or major catalysts. While odds imply low upset risk akin to safe Democratic incumbency base rates, scenarios like a GOP midterm wave, Underwood scandal, health event, or her speculated Senate bid following Sen. Durbin's retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,821Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Lauren Underwood's dominant position in Illinois' 14th Congressional District drives the 91% trader consensus for a Democratic House election winner, bolstered by her unopposed March 17 Democratic primary victory and history of double-digit general election margins—including a 55%-45% defeat of rematch opponent James Marter in 2024—in this D+3 Cook PVI district. The Republican primary win by Marter, who garnered 75% against a weak field, has not shifted sentiment amid no recent polling or major catalysts. While odds imply low upset risk akin to safe Democratic incumbency base rates, scenarios like a GOP midterm wave, Underwood scandal, health event, or her speculated Senate bid following Sen. Durbin's retirement could narrow the gap before the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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