Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts with a modest partisan lean. Underwood secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning the seat in 2018 and prevailing by roughly five points in 2024. Republican nominee James Marter, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome because of incumbency, fundraising patterns, and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions since the primaries. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by broader midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-14 House Election Winner
IL-14 House Election Winner
$14,134 Обс.
$14,134 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
5%
$14,134 Обс.
$14,134 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,471 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$9,662 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts with a modest partisan lean. Underwood secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning the seat in 2018 and prevailing by roughly five points in 2024. Republican nominee James Marter, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome because of incumbency, fundraising patterns, and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions since the primaries. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,134Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts with a modest partisan lean. Underwood secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning the seat in 2018 and prevailing by roughly five points in 2024. Republican nominee James Marter, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome because of incumbency, fundraising patterns, and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions since the primaries. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by broader midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,134Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Lauren Underwood seeks re-election in Illinois’s 14th congressional district, a western Chicago exurb area rated Solid Democratic by nonpartisan analysts with a modest partisan lean. Underwood secured her party’s nomination unopposed in the March 2026 primary after winning the seat in 2018 and prevailing by roughly five points in 2024. Republican nominee James Marter, a perennial candidate, faces structural headwinds in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing assigns overwhelming probability to the Democratic outcome because of incumbency, fundraising patterns, and the absence of major shifts in local or national conditions since the primaries. Late developments that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen scandal, significant health event, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by broader midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання