Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's dominant position in the heavily Democratic MI-12 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Tlaib's $4.7 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, following the April 21 filing deadline that confirmed her three Democratic primary opponents—Byron Nolen, Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer—while Republican James Hooper, her 2024 foe who garnered just 25%, remains the lone GOP contender ahead of the August 4 primaries. This commanding lead reflects the district's consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including Tlaib's 70% victories in 2022 and 2024. Realistic challenges would require a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, Tlaib scandal, or unprecedented national Republican wave, though historical safe-seat base rates suggest low likelihood.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$28,833 Обс.
$28,833 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
5%
$28,833 Обс.
$28,833 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,658 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$11,175 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's dominant position in the heavily Democratic MI-12 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Tlaib's $4.7 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, following the April 21 filing deadline that confirmed her three Democratic primary opponents—Byron Nolen, Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer—while Republican James Hooper, her 2024 foe who garnered just 25%, remains the lone GOP contender ahead of the August 4 primaries. This commanding lead reflects the district's consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including Tlaib's 70% victories in 2022 and 2024. Realistic challenges would require a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, Tlaib scandal, or unprecedented national Republican wave, though historical safe-seat base rates suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,833Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's dominant position in the heavily Democratic MI-12 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Tlaib's $4.7 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, following the April 21 filing deadline that confirmed her three Democratic primary opponents—Byron Nolen, Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer—while Republican James Hooper, her 2024 foe who garnered just 25%, remains the lone GOP contender ahead of the August 4 primaries. This commanding lead reflects the district's consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including Tlaib's 70% victories in 2022 and 2024. Realistic challenges would require a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, Tlaib scandal, or unprecedented national Republican wave, though historical safe-seat base rates suggest low likelihood.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,833Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Rashida Tlaib's dominant position in the heavily Democratic MI-12 district, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+21 partisan voter index, drives trader consensus at 93% for a Democratic Party win in the November 3 general election. Tlaib's $4.7 million cash on hand dwarfs challengers, following the April 21 filing deadline that confirmed her three Democratic primary opponents—Byron Nolen, Shanelle Jackson, and Allen Downer—while Republican James Hooper, her 2024 foe who garnered just 25%, remains the lone GOP contender ahead of the August 4 primaries. This commanding lead reflects the district's consistent double-digit Democratic margins, including Tlaib's 70% victories in 2022 and 2024. Realistic challenges would require a weakened Democratic nominee post-primary, Tlaib scandal, or unprecedented national Republican wave, though historical safe-seat base rates suggest low likelihood.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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