Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-02 House Election Winner
PA-02 House Election Winner
$22,015 Обс.
$22,015 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$22,015 Обс.
$22,015 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$4,954 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$17,061 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,015Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,015Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 2nd Congressional District remains a strongly Democratic seat, anchored by its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent performance in Northeast Philadelphia and surrounding areas. Incumbent Democrat Brendan Boyle, seeking reelection in the November 3 general election, benefits from a 71% margin in 2024 and faces only nominal primary opposition ahead of the May 19 vote. The sole Republican primary candidate, Jessica Arriaga, lacks comparable fundraising or name recognition, aligning with Cook Political Report's Solid Democratic rating and historical base rates exceeding 95% reelection for similar incumbents. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural factors, though late developments such as a Boyle health issue, major scandal, or national Republican surge could still alter the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання