Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant position in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 93.2% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 3 general election. Recent March 31 campaign finance filings underscore Bell's fundraising edge with $1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $121,000, amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring lesser-known contenders like Carl Harris Sr. ahead of the August 4 contest. Unnamed Republican primary entrants Paul Berry and Andrew Jones Jr. lack resources or profile to contest the deep-blue St. Louis seat's 40-point Democratic margins. Late shifts could arise from a nominee scandal, post-primary GOP surge, or national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$23,793 Обс.
$23,793 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$23,793 Обс.
$23,793 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,644 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$10,149 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant position in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 93.2% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 3 general election. Recent March 31 campaign finance filings underscore Bell's fundraising edge with $1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $121,000, amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring lesser-known contenders like Carl Harris Sr. ahead of the August 4 contest. Unnamed Republican primary entrants Paul Berry and Andrew Jones Jr. lack resources or profile to contest the deep-blue St. Louis seat's 40-point Democratic margins. Late shifts could arise from a nominee scandal, post-primary GOP surge, or national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,793Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant position in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 93.2% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 3 general election. Recent March 31 campaign finance filings underscore Bell's fundraising edge with $1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $121,000, amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring lesser-known contenders like Carl Harris Sr. ahead of the August 4 contest. Unnamed Republican primary entrants Paul Berry and Andrew Jones Jr. lack resources or profile to contest the deep-blue St. Louis seat's 40-point Democratic margins. Late shifts could arise from a nominee scandal, post-primary GOP surge, or national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,793Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell's dominant position in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus at 93.2% for a Democratic Party hold in the November 3 general election. Recent March 31 campaign finance filings underscore Bell's fundraising edge with $1.2 million cash on hand versus challenger Cori Bush's $121,000, amid a crowded Democratic primary featuring lesser-known contenders like Carl Harris Sr. ahead of the August 4 contest. Unnamed Republican primary entrants Paul Berry and Andrew Jones Jr. lack resources or profile to contest the deep-blue St. Louis seat's 40-point Democratic margins. Late shifts could arise from a nominee scandal, post-primary GOP surge, or national wave, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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