Incumbent Republican John McGuire leads the VA-05 House race in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with an R+6 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results where Donald Trump carried 56% in 2024. McGuire's strong 2024 general election win exceeding 57% and fundraising dominance reinforce trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5%. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 9 ruling blocking a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the current Republican-leaning map, dashing Democratic hopes for a redraw that could have flipped seats. Democrats feature well-funded challenger Tom Perriello in a fragmented August 4 primary field, but structural GOP advantages persist ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$52,217 Обс.
$52,217 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
75%
Democratic Party
26%
$52,217 Обс.
$52,217 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$23,906 Обс.
75%
Democratic Party
$28,312 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire leads the VA-05 House race in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with an R+6 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results where Donald Trump carried 56% in 2024. McGuire's strong 2024 general election win exceeding 57% and fundraising dominance reinforce trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5%. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 9 ruling blocking a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the current Republican-leaning map, dashing Democratic hopes for a redraw that could have flipped seats. Democrats feature well-funded challenger Tom Perriello in a fragmented August 4 primary field, but structural GOP advantages persist ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$52,217Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire leads the VA-05 House race in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with an R+6 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results where Donald Trump carried 56% in 2024. McGuire's strong 2024 general election win exceeding 57% and fundraising dominance reinforce trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5%. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 9 ruling blocking a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the current Republican-leaning map, dashing Democratic hopes for a redraw that could have flipped seats. Democrats feature well-funded challenger Tom Perriello in a fragmented August 4 primary field, but structural GOP advantages persist ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$52,217Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John McGuire leads the VA-05 House race in a district rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, with an R+6 partisan voting index based on recent presidential results where Donald Trump carried 56% in 2024. McGuire's strong 2024 general election win exceeding 57% and fundraising dominance reinforce trader consensus favoring the GOP at 74.5%. The Virginia Supreme Court's May 9 ruling blocking a voter-approved mid-decade redistricting amendment preserves the current Republican-leaning map, dashing Democratic hopes for a redraw that could have flipped seats. Democrats feature well-funded challenger Tom Perriello in a fragmented August 4 primary field, but structural GOP advantages persist ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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