Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the partisan voter index favors Republicans by 10 points and the area supported Trump by 21 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with Langworthy’s unchallenged June 23 primary and substantial fundraising lead, anchors trader consensus on an 80.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring Aaron Gies, Kevin Stocker, Stephen Collins, and Jeff Rayner remains fragmented with limited resources, offering no immediate path to competitiveness. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-23 House Election Winner
NY-23 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
16%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,555 Обс.
81%
Democratic Party
$2,201 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the partisan voter index favors Republicans by 10 points and the area supported Trump by 21 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with Langworthy’s unchallenged June 23 primary and substantial fundraising lead, anchors trader consensus on an 80.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring Aaron Gies, Kevin Stocker, Stephen Collins, and Jeff Rayner remains fragmented with limited resources, offering no immediate path to competitiveness. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,757Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the partisan voter index favors Republicans by 10 points and the area supported Trump by 21 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with Langworthy’s unchallenged June 23 primary and substantial fundraising lead, anchors trader consensus on an 80.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring Aaron Gies, Kevin Stocker, Stephen Collins, and Jeff Rayner remains fragmented with limited resources, offering no immediate path to competitiveness. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,757Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nick Langworthy holds a commanding position in New York’s 23rd congressional district, where the partisan voter index favors Republicans by 10 points and the area supported Trump by 21 points in 2024. This structural advantage, combined with Langworthy’s unchallenged June 23 primary and substantial fundraising lead, anchors trader consensus on an 80.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee ahead of the November 3 general election. A crowded Democratic primary field featuring Aaron Gies, Kevin Stocker, Stephen Collins, and Jeff Rayner remains fragmented with limited resources, offering no immediate path to competitiveness. No major polling or campaign shifts have emerged in the past month to alter this outlook.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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