Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-05 House Election Winner
NY-05 House Election Winner
$22,223 Обс.
$22,223 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$22,223 Обс.
$22,223 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,739 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$7,484 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$22,223Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$22,223Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Gregory Meeks (D) commands trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party in NY-05 due to the district's strong D+24 partisan voter index—where Kamala Harris won 70% in 2024—and his $1.87 million cash-on-hand advantage as of late March, dwarfing challengers. With the April filing deadline passed, Meeks faces a low-threat Democratic primary against Salvatore Padellaro on June 23, while Republicans Alexandria Foxworth and George Marsh show no reported fundraising. This structural edge in the safe Democratic Queens seat solidifies odds ahead of the November 3 general election. Realistic challenges include a GOP fundraising surge, Meeks scandal, primary upset, or national Republican wave flipping turnout in minority-heavy areas.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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