Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-05 House Election Winner
WA-05 House Election Winner
$14,937 Обс.
$14,937 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
67%
Democratic Party
27%
$14,937 Обс.
$14,937 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,104 Обс.
67%
Democratic Party
$7,833 Обс.
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,937Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,937Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington state's 5th congressional district carries an R+5 partisan voting index and has consistently supported Republican candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Michael Baumgartner, who took office in January 2025 after winning the prior general election, filed for re-election ahead of the May 8, 2026 deadline and faces a nonpartisan top-two primary on August 4. Early polling shows him leading potential Democratic opponents by wide margins in a district that includes Spokane and rural eastern counties. With the general election set for November 3, trader consensus reflects the structural Republican advantage, limited Democratic recruitment, and absence of major recent shifts in voter registration or turnout patterns that would alter the seat's baseline competitiveness.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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