Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-24 House Election Winner
NY-24 House Election Winner
$20,577 Обс.
$20,577 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
8%
$20,577 Обс.
$20,577 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Claudia Tenney (R)
$10,938 Обс.
93%
Alissa Ellman (D)
$9,639 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,577Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,577Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Claudia Tenney holds a commanding lead in the NY-24 House race due to her status as a three-term Republican incumbent in a district rated Solid Republican by multiple forecasters, combined with substantial fundraising advantages exceeding $2.4 million this cycle. She advanced unopposed through the Republican and Conservative primaries, while Democrat Alissa Ellman, an Afghanistan veteran and former VA employee, secured her nomination in June but trails significantly in resources and faces structural headwinds in a district that delivered Tenney wide margins in prior cycles. Traders assign Ellman limited prospects absent major shifts in national conditions, a high-profile development involving the incumbent, or unusual turnout patterns that could alter the baseline partisan dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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